Latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models such as GFS and ECMWF project daytime maximums of 26–28°C in Mexico City on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 25–27°C amid intense solar insolation and urban heat retention during the dry season. Trader consensus at 94% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this model agreement and historical observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, where temperatures rarely fall below 23°C in mid-May. Potential challenges include an unexpected increase in afternoon convection or thicker low-level cloud cover that could limit peak heating, though current guidance shows low likelihood before official station data resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 멕시코시티에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 멕시코시티에서 가장 높은 기온?
26°C or higher 94.0%
25°C 3.4%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
신규
$10,744 거래량
신규
$10,744 거래량
2026.05.17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
94%
26°C or higher 94.0%
25°C 3.4%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
신규
$10,744 거래량
신규
$10,744 거래량
2026.05.17
16°C or below
$911 거래량
<1%
17°C
$1,742 거래량
<1%
18°C
$1,555 거래량
<1%
19°C
$2,546 거래량
<1%
20°C
$547 거래량
<1%
21°C
$689 거래량
<1%
22°C
$563 거래량
<1%
23°C
$297 거래량
1%
24°C
$459 거래량
2%
25°C
$869 거래량
3%
26°C or higher
$590 거래량
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models such as GFS and ECMWF project daytime maximums of 26–28°C in Mexico City on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 25–27°C amid intense solar insolation and urban heat retention during the dry season. Trader consensus at 94% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this model agreement and historical observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, where temperatures rarely fall below 23°C in mid-May. Potential challenges include an unexpected increase in afternoon convection or thicker low-level cloud cover that could limit peak heating, though current guidance shows low likelihood before official station data resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$10,744종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models such as GFS and ECMWF project daytime maximums of 26–28°C in Mexico City on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 25–27°C amid intense solar insolation and urban heat retention during the dry season. Trader consensus at 94% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this model agreement and historical observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, where temperatures rarely fall below 23°C in mid-May. Potential challenges include an unexpected increase in afternoon convection or thicker low-level cloud cover that could limit peak heating, though current guidance shows low likelihood before official station data resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$10,744종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models such as GFS and ECMWF project daytime maximums of 26–28°C in Mexico City on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 25–27°C amid intense solar insolation and urban heat retention during the dry season. Trader consensus at 94% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this model agreement and historical observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, where temperatures rarely fall below 23°C in mid-May. Potential challenges include an unexpected increase in afternoon convection or thicker low-level cloud cover that could limit peak heating, though current guidance shows low likelihood before official station data resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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