Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 13°C high in Munich tomorrow at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (27%) and 14°C (21%), reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model consensus forecasting daytime maximums of 12-14°C. This positioning arises from a deepening upper-level trough over central Europe in the past 48 hours, channeling cool northerly airflow during the traditional Eisheiligen "ice saints" period—culminating in "Kalte Sophie" on May 15—bringing persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thundershower risks that suppress temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 17-19°C. Ensemble models exhibit low spread but inherent uncertainty from variable cloud breaks; final DWD updates and Munich Airport observations will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on May 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 15?
13°C 40%
12°C 27%
14°C 20%
15°C 11%
신규
$18,923 거래량
신규
$18,923 거래량
2026.05.15
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
27%
13°C
40%
14°C
20%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 40%
12°C 27%
14°C 20%
15°C 11%
신규
$18,923 거래량
신규
$18,923 거래량
2026.05.15
7°C or below
$807 거래량
<1%
8°C
$994 거래량
<1%
9°C
$1,470 거래량
<1%
10°C
$463 거래량
1%
11°C
$1,119 거래량
3%
12°C
$2,123 거래량
27%
13°C
$1,367 거래량
40%
14°C
$2,736 거래량
20%
15°C
$2,140 거래량
11%
16°C
$2,838 거래량
1%
17°C or higher
$3,000 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 13°C high in Munich tomorrow at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (27%) and 14°C (21%), reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model consensus forecasting daytime maximums of 12-14°C. This positioning arises from a deepening upper-level trough over central Europe in the past 48 hours, channeling cool northerly airflow during the traditional Eisheiligen "ice saints" period—culminating in "Kalte Sophie" on May 15—bringing persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thundershower risks that suppress temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 17-19°C. Ensemble models exhibit low spread but inherent uncertainty from variable cloud breaks; final DWD updates and Munich Airport observations will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$18,923종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 13°C high in Munich tomorrow at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (27%) and 14°C (21%), reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model consensus forecasting daytime maximums of 12-14°C. This positioning arises from a deepening upper-level trough over central Europe in the past 48 hours, channeling cool northerly airflow during the traditional Eisheiligen "ice saints" period—culminating in "Kalte Sophie" on May 15—bringing persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thundershower risks that suppress temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 17-19°C. Ensemble models exhibit low spread but inherent uncertainty from variable cloud breaks; final DWD updates and Munich Airport observations will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$18,923종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 13°C high in Munich tomorrow at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (27%) and 14°C (21%), reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model consensus forecasting daytime maximums of 12-14°C. This positioning arises from a deepening upper-level trough over central Europe in the past 48 hours, channeling cool northerly airflow during the traditional Eisheiligen "ice saints" period—culminating in "Kalte Sophie" on May 15—bringing persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thundershower risks that suppress temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 17-19°C. Ensemble models exhibit low spread but inherent uncertainty from variable cloud breaks; final DWD updates and Munich Airport observations will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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