High-confidence forecasts from ARPA Lombardia and national models like ECMWF project Milan's highest temperature today at precisely 18°C, reflecting trader consensus amid a dominant cold front bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Current observations at Malpensa International Airport station show midday readings near 15–16°C with ongoing instability, aligning with historical May patterns disrupted by this unstable weather regime—typically highs of 20–22°C are warmer but frontal boundaries have suppressed peaks. Realistic challenges include an unlikely prolonged clearing in late afternoon allowing brief solar insolation and rapid warming above 19°C, though model ensembles show low probability before evening cooldown; official end-of-day measurements will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$71,701 거래량
$71,701 거래량
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$71,701 거래량
$71,701 거래량
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
High-confidence forecasts from ARPA Lombardia and national models like ECMWF project Milan's highest temperature today at precisely 18°C, reflecting trader consensus amid a dominant cold front bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Current observations at Malpensa International Airport station show midday readings near 15–16°C with ongoing instability, aligning with historical May patterns disrupted by this unstable weather regime—typically highs of 20–22°C are warmer but frontal boundaries have suppressed peaks. Realistic challenges include an unlikely prolonged clearing in late afternoon allowing brief solar insolation and rapid warming above 19°C, though model ensembles show low probability before evening cooldown; official end-of-day measurements will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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