The India Meteorological Department’s overnight forecast for May 16 places Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 40 °C, driving the 96 % market-implied probability that readings stay at or below 41 °C. This outlook aligns with the broader May 2026 pattern of normal-to-below-normal maximum temperatures across much of northern India, sustained by above-average pre-monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover that has suppressed surface heating over the Ganges plain. Historical IMD climatology shows mid-May highs typically range 39–42 °C, yet recent station observations and model consensus indicate continued moisture incursion that should limit afternoon peaks. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with stronger westerly flow could realistically lift temperatures into the 42–43 °C range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 96.0%
42°C 2.3%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
신규
$18,157 거래량
신규
$18,157 거래량
2026.05.16
41°C or below
96%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 96.0%
42°C 2.3%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
신규
$18,157 거래량
신규
$18,157 거래량
2026.05.16
41°C or below
$2,523 거래량
96%
42°C
$2,008 거래량
2%
43°C
$1,647 거래량
1%
44°C
$1,159 거래량
1%
45°C
$2,556 거래량
<1%
46°C
$2,591 거래량
<1%
47°C
$757 거래량
<1%
48°C
$935 거래량
<1%
49°C
$1,791 거래량
<1%
50°C
$776 거래량
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,415 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department’s overnight forecast for May 16 places Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 40 °C, driving the 96 % market-implied probability that readings stay at or below 41 °C. This outlook aligns with the broader May 2026 pattern of normal-to-below-normal maximum temperatures across much of northern India, sustained by above-average pre-monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover that has suppressed surface heating over the Ganges plain. Historical IMD climatology shows mid-May highs typically range 39–42 °C, yet recent station observations and model consensus indicate continued moisture incursion that should limit afternoon peaks. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with stronger westerly flow could realistically lift temperatures into the 42–43 °C range before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
거래량
$18,157종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department’s overnight forecast for May 16 places Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 40 °C, driving the 96 % market-implied probability that readings stay at or below 41 °C. This outlook aligns with the broader May 2026 pattern of normal-to-below-normal maximum temperatures across much of northern India, sustained by above-average pre-monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover that has suppressed surface heating over the Ganges plain. Historical IMD climatology shows mid-May highs typically range 39–42 °C, yet recent station observations and model consensus indicate continued moisture incursion that should limit afternoon peaks. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with stronger westerly flow could realistically lift temperatures into the 42–43 °C range before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$18,157종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThe India Meteorological Department’s overnight forecast for May 16 places Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 40 °C, driving the 96 % market-implied probability that readings stay at or below 41 °C. This outlook aligns with the broader May 2026 pattern of normal-to-below-normal maximum temperatures across much of northern India, sustained by above-average pre-monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover that has suppressed surface heating over the Ganges plain. Historical IMD climatology shows mid-May highs typically range 39–42 °C, yet recent station observations and model consensus indicate continued moisture incursion that should limit afternoon peaks. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with stronger westerly flow could realistically lift temperatures into the 42–43 °C range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문