Latest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 16 at around 21°C under mostly sunny conditions, driving trader consensus with 37% implied probability on that outcome, followed closely by 22°C (24%) and 20°C (19%). This positioning stems from a recent cooler spell, including drizzle and overcast skies on May 15 with highs near 18°C, as continental high pressure builds to clear the skies and allow diurnal heating. Mid-May climatology supports averages of 20–22°C, with historical data showing typical spring warming amid low precipitation risk. Uncertainties remain in afternoon cloud development or minor model divergences, with Turkish State Meteorological Service observations resolving the market. New forecast updates expected overnight could refine probabilities further.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
21°C 38%
22°C 23%
20°C 22%
19°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
22%
21°C
38%
22°C
23%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 38%
22°C 23%
20°C 22%
19°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
14°C or below
$285 거래량
<1%
15°C
$433 거래량
<1%
16°C
$221 거래량
<1%
17°C
$269 거래량
1%
18°C
$149 거래량
3%
19°C
$600 거래량
7%
20°C
$1,133 거래량
22%
21°C
$431 거래량
38%
22°C
$428 거래량
23%
23°C
$208 거래량
6%
24°C or higher
$336 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 16 at around 21°C under mostly sunny conditions, driving trader consensus with 37% implied probability on that outcome, followed closely by 22°C (24%) and 20°C (19%). This positioning stems from a recent cooler spell, including drizzle and overcast skies on May 15 with highs near 18°C, as continental high pressure builds to clear the skies and allow diurnal heating. Mid-May climatology supports averages of 20–22°C, with historical data showing typical spring warming amid low precipitation risk. Uncertainties remain in afternoon cloud development or minor model divergences, with Turkish State Meteorological Service observations resolving the market. New forecast updates expected overnight could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
거래량
$4,492종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 16 at around 21°C under mostly sunny conditions, driving trader consensus with 37% implied probability on that outcome, followed closely by 22°C (24%) and 20°C (19%). This positioning stems from a recent cooler spell, including drizzle and overcast skies on May 15 with highs near 18°C, as continental high pressure builds to clear the skies and allow diurnal heating. Mid-May climatology supports averages of 20–22°C, with historical data showing typical spring warming amid low precipitation risk. Uncertainties remain in afternoon cloud development or minor model divergences, with Turkish State Meteorological Service observations resolving the market. New forecast updates expected overnight could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$4,492종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETLatest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 16 at around 21°C under mostly sunny conditions, driving trader consensus with 37% implied probability on that outcome, followed closely by 22°C (24%) and 20°C (19%). This positioning stems from a recent cooler spell, including drizzle and overcast skies on May 15 with highs near 18°C, as continental high pressure builds to clear the skies and allow diurnal heating. Mid-May climatology supports averages of 20–22°C, with historical data showing typical spring warming amid low precipitation risk. Uncertainties remain in afternoon cloud development or minor model divergences, with Turkish State Meteorological Service observations resolving the market. New forecast updates expected overnight could refine probabilities further.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문