Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 31°C or below at 85.5% implied probability for May 15 in Beijing, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting a maximum of 31°C under overcast skies with light easterly breezes and possible afternoon showers. This cooling trend follows recent highs of 33-34°C on May 13-14, as an incoming frontal system boosts cloud cover and humidity—reducing solar insolation and daytime heating potential—amid mid-May climatology averaging 28-29°C peaks. International models like AccuWeather align near 32°C with hazy conditions but low precipitation risk. Official measurements at Beijing Capital International Airport resolve the market by day's end, with peak temperatures expected around 2 PM local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 15?
31°C or below 85%
32°C 12%
33°C 2.9%
34°C 1.0%
신규
$32,994 거래량
신규
$32,994 거래량
2026.05.15
31°C or below
85%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 85%
32°C 12%
33°C 2.9%
34°C 1.0%
신규
$32,994 거래량
신규
$32,994 거래량
2026.05.15
31°C or below
$5,658 거래량
85%
32°C
$2,481 거래량
12%
33°C
$5,654 거래량
3%
34°C
$4,279 거래량
1%
35°C
$3,415 거래량
<1%
36°C
$2,411 거래량
<1%
37°C
$2,469 거래량
<1%
38°C
$1,819 거래량
<1%
39°C
$1,866 거래량
<1%
40°C
$1,434 거래량
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,515 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 31°C or below at 85.5% implied probability for May 15 in Beijing, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting a maximum of 31°C under overcast skies with light easterly breezes and possible afternoon showers. This cooling trend follows recent highs of 33-34°C on May 13-14, as an incoming frontal system boosts cloud cover and humidity—reducing solar insolation and daytime heating potential—amid mid-May climatology averaging 28-29°C peaks. International models like AccuWeather align near 32°C with hazy conditions but low precipitation risk. Official measurements at Beijing Capital International Airport resolve the market by day's end, with peak temperatures expected around 2 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
거래량
$32,994종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 31°C or below at 85.5% implied probability for May 15 in Beijing, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting a maximum of 31°C under overcast skies with light easterly breezes and possible afternoon showers. This cooling trend follows recent highs of 33-34°C on May 13-14, as an incoming frontal system boosts cloud cover and humidity—reducing solar insolation and daytime heating potential—amid mid-May climatology averaging 28-29°C peaks. International models like AccuWeather align near 32°C with hazy conditions but low precipitation risk. Official measurements at Beijing Capital International Airport resolve the market by day's end, with peak temperatures expected around 2 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$32,994종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETTrader consensus heavily favors a high of 31°C or below at 85.5% implied probability for May 15 in Beijing, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting a maximum of 31°C under overcast skies with light easterly breezes and possible afternoon showers. This cooling trend follows recent highs of 33-34°C on May 13-14, as an incoming frontal system boosts cloud cover and humidity—reducing solar insolation and daytime heating potential—amid mid-May climatology averaging 28-29°C peaks. International models like AccuWeather align near 32°C with hazy conditions but low precipitation risk. Official measurements at Beijing Capital International Airport resolve the market by day's end, with peak temperatures expected around 2 PM local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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