Latest short-range forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Ankara's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 17-18°C, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 17°C edging out 36.0% for 18°C, amid a persistent cool anomaly from an early May cold spell that suppressed regional temperatures up to 14°C below average. This setup below the mid-May climatological high of 21°C stems from an upper-level trough fostering cloud cover and light showers, limiting diurnal heating potential per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance. The razor-thin spread reflects model disagreements on exact insolation timing and boundary layer mixing; updated runs overnight and MGM advisories could tip the balance before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 38%
18°C 37%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
신규
$12,520 거래량
신규
$12,520 거래량
2026.05.15
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
38%
18°C
37%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 38%
18°C 37%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
신규
$12,520 거래량
신규
$12,520 거래량
2026.05.15
11°C or below
$877 거래량
<1%
12°C
$773 거래량
<1%
13°C
$908 거래량
<1%
14°C
$895 거래량
1%
15°C
$1,025 거래량
5%
16°C
$1,222 거래량
8%
17°C
$1,157 거래량
38%
18°C
$1,063 거래량
37%
19°C
$1,046 거래량
14%
20°C
$1,814 거래량
2%
21°C or higher
$1,770 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Ankara's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 17-18°C, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 17°C edging out 36.0% for 18°C, amid a persistent cool anomaly from an early May cold spell that suppressed regional temperatures up to 14°C below average. This setup below the mid-May climatological high of 21°C stems from an upper-level trough fostering cloud cover and light showers, limiting diurnal heating potential per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance. The razor-thin spread reflects model disagreements on exact insolation timing and boundary layer mixing; updated runs overnight and MGM advisories could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$12,520종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Ankara's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 17-18°C, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 17°C edging out 36.0% for 18°C, amid a persistent cool anomaly from an early May cold spell that suppressed regional temperatures up to 14°C below average. This setup below the mid-May climatological high of 21°C stems from an upper-level trough fostering cloud cover and light showers, limiting diurnal heating potential per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance. The razor-thin spread reflects model disagreements on exact insolation timing and boundary layer mixing; updated runs overnight and MGM advisories could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$12,520종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest short-range forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Ankara's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 17-18°C, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 17°C edging out 36.0% for 18°C, amid a persistent cool anomaly from an early May cold spell that suppressed regional temperatures up to 14°C below average. This setup below the mid-May climatological high of 21°C stems from an upper-level trough fostering cloud cover and light showers, limiting diurnal heating potential per Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance. The razor-thin spread reflects model disagreements on exact insolation timing and boundary layer mixing; updated runs overnight and MGM advisories could tip the balance before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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