Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Qingdao on May 17, shaped by moderate southerly flow beneath a weak high-pressure ridge and partial clearing that permits limited daytime heating over the Yellow Sea. This setup aligns with climatological mid-May ranges of 18–23°C at coastal stations, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around 23°C and 24°C in the market. Model consensus remains stable with minimal spread in guidance, though any unexpected increase in cloud cover or onshore breeze could cap the peak nearer 22°C. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the contract directly against these thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 칭다오에서 가장 높은 온도는?
23°C 25%
24°C 24%
22°C 20.4%
21°C 13.6%
20°C 이하
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
20%
23°C
29%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C 이상
<1%
23°C 25%
24°C 24%
22°C 20.4%
21°C 13.6%
20°C 이하
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
20%
23°C
29%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Qingdao on May 17, shaped by moderate southerly flow beneath a weak high-pressure ridge and partial clearing that permits limited daytime heating over the Yellow Sea. This setup aligns with climatological mid-May ranges of 18–23°C at coastal stations, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around 23°C and 24°C in the market. Model consensus remains stable with minimal spread in guidance, though any unexpected increase in cloud cover or onshore breeze could cap the peak nearer 22°C. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the contract directly against these thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문