Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 16, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 14–16°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds limiting peak heating. The slight edge to 15°C stems from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest outlook favoring moderate insolation under variable cloud cover, while 14°C gains from potential increased low-level moisture advection cooling surface layers, and 16°C from optimistic clearing scenarios boosting diurnal warming. Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects at the observing station; new 12z runs today could shift probabilities further, with resolution hinging on observed max before midnight local time. Typical mid-May highs average 17°C, but autumnal cool fronts add variability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 16일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 16일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 기온?
15°C 36%
14°C 32%
16°C 15%
13°C 10.5%
신규
$11,433 거래량
신규
$11,433 거래량
2026.05.16
10°C 이하
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
11%
14°C
32%
15°C
40%
16°C
15%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C 이상
1%
15°C 36%
14°C 32%
16°C 15%
13°C 10.5%
신규
$11,433 거래량
신규
$11,433 거래량
2026.05.16
10°C 이하
$1,877 거래량
<1%
11°C
$531 거래량
1%
12°C
$710 거래량
3%
13°C
$273 거래량
11%
14°C
$821 거래량
32%
15°C
$871 거래량
40%
16°C
$903 거래량
15%
17°C
$1,532 거래량
4%
18°C
$1,688 거래량
4%
19°C
$649 거래량
1%
20°C 이상
$1,577 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 16, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 14–16°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds limiting peak heating. The slight edge to 15°C stems from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest outlook favoring moderate insolation under variable cloud cover, while 14°C gains from potential increased low-level moisture advection cooling surface layers, and 16°C from optimistic clearing scenarios boosting diurnal warming. Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects at the observing station; new 12z runs today could shift probabilities further, with resolution hinging on observed max before midnight local time. Typical mid-May highs average 17°C, but autumnal cool fronts add variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$11,433종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 16, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 14–16°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds limiting peak heating. The slight edge to 15°C stems from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest outlook favoring moderate insolation under variable cloud cover, while 14°C gains from potential increased low-level moisture advection cooling surface layers, and 16°C from optimistic clearing scenarios boosting diurnal warming. Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects at the observing station; new 12z runs today could shift probabilities further, with resolution hinging on observed max before midnight local time. Typical mid-May highs average 17°C, but autumnal cool fronts add variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$11,433종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 16, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 14–16°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds limiting peak heating. The slight edge to 15°C stems from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest outlook favoring moderate insolation under variable cloud cover, while 14°C gains from potential increased low-level moisture advection cooling surface layers, and 16°C from optimistic clearing scenarios boosting diurnal warming. Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary layer mixing and urban heat island effects at the observing station; new 12z runs today could shift probabilities further, with resolution hinging on observed max before midnight local time. Typical mid-May highs average 17°C, but autumnal cool fronts add variability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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