Current numerical weather models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Moscow's daytime maximum on May 17 likely peaking near 25°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to that threshold. Ensemble guidance places a 60–70% chance of the high falling between 24–26°C, with minor disagreements centered on timing of any scattered showers that could cap temperatures by a degree or two. This narrow spread reflects typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 18–20°C but recent warm-air advection has lifted the forecast envelope. Resolution will hinge on the final 12–18 UTC observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo stations, with any shift in model consensus before midnight likely moving the market between the 24°C and 26°C bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
25°C 35%
26°C 28.1%
24°C 22%
27°C 11.4%
신규
$11,553 거래량
신규
$11,553 거래량
2026.05.17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
22%
25°C
35%
26°C
28%
27°C
11%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 35%
26°C 28.1%
24°C 22%
27°C 11.4%
신규
$11,553 거래량
신규
$11,553 거래량
2026.05.17
18°C or below
$1,378 거래량
<1%
19°C
$1,315 거래량
<1%
20°C
$1,029 거래량
<1%
21°C
$1,937 거래량
1%
22°C
$1,350 거래량
2%
23°C
$767 거래량
6%
24°C
$494 거래량
22%
25°C
$647 거래량
35%
26°C
$900 거래량
28%
27°C
$682 거래량
11%
28°C or higher
$1,054 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Moscow's daytime maximum on May 17 likely peaking near 25°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to that threshold. Ensemble guidance places a 60–70% chance of the high falling between 24–26°C, with minor disagreements centered on timing of any scattered showers that could cap temperatures by a degree or two. This narrow spread reflects typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 18–20°C but recent warm-air advection has lifted the forecast envelope. Resolution will hinge on the final 12–18 UTC observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo stations, with any shift in model consensus before midnight likely moving the market between the 24°C and 26°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$11,553종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Moscow's daytime maximum on May 17 likely peaking near 25°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to that threshold. Ensemble guidance places a 60–70% chance of the high falling between 24–26°C, with minor disagreements centered on timing of any scattered showers that could cap temperatures by a degree or two. This narrow spread reflects typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 18–20°C but recent warm-air advection has lifted the forecast envelope. Resolution will hinge on the final 12–18 UTC observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo stations, with any shift in model consensus before midnight likely moving the market between the 24°C and 26°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$11,553종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Moscow's daytime maximum on May 17 likely peaking near 25°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to that threshold. Ensemble guidance places a 60–70% chance of the high falling between 24–26°C, with minor disagreements centered on timing of any scattered showers that could cap temperatures by a degree or two. This narrow spread reflects typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 18–20°C but recent warm-air advection has lifted the forecast envelope. Resolution will hinge on the final 12–18 UTC observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo stations, with any shift in model consensus before midnight likely moving the market between the 24°C and 26°C bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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