Recent forecast guidance from European and Russian meteorological models shows Moscow poised for peak afternoon temperatures near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening southerly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads remain tight because surface heating will depend on limited cloud cover and light winds during the warmest hours; a modest increase in afternoon convection or earlier frontal passage could shave 1–2°C from the daily maximum, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push readings toward 30°C. Historical mid-May climatology at VDNKh station places the average daily high around 19°C, so the current outlook reflects a notable positive anomaly supported by the latest 48-hour model runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 18일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
30°C 17%
28°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
12%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
24%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
8%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
30°C 17%
28°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
21°C or below
$540 거래량
<1%
22°C
$318 거래량
1%
23°C
$618 거래량
1%
24°C
$73 거래량
3%
25°C
$270 거래량
5%
26°C
$23 거래량
12%
27°C
$98 거래량
20%
28°C
$11 거래량
20%
29°C
$73 거래량
24%
30°C
$34 거래량
17%
31°C or higher
$29 거래량
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from European and Russian meteorological models shows Moscow poised for peak afternoon temperatures near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening southerly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads remain tight because surface heating will depend on limited cloud cover and light winds during the warmest hours; a modest increase in afternoon convection or earlier frontal passage could shave 1–2°C from the daily maximum, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push readings toward 30°C. Historical mid-May climatology at VDNKh station places the average daily high around 19°C, so the current outlook reflects a notable positive anomaly supported by the latest 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$2,050종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from European and Russian meteorological models shows Moscow poised for peak afternoon temperatures near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening southerly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads remain tight because surface heating will depend on limited cloud cover and light winds during the warmest hours; a modest increase in afternoon convection or earlier frontal passage could shave 1–2°C from the daily maximum, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push readings toward 30°C. Historical mid-May climatology at VDNKh station places the average daily high around 19°C, so the current outlook reflects a notable positive anomaly supported by the latest 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$2,050종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from European and Russian meteorological models shows Moscow poised for peak afternoon temperatures near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening southerly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads remain tight because surface heating will depend on limited cloud cover and light winds during the warmest hours; a modest increase in afternoon convection or earlier frontal passage could shave 1–2°C from the daily maximum, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push readings toward 30°C. Historical mid-May climatology at VDNKh station places the average daily high around 19°C, so the current outlook reflects a notable positive anomaly supported by the latest 48-hour model runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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