Recent South African Weather Service guidance points to maximum temperatures of 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning closely with the market’s tight clustering around 21–22°C. These conditions favor modest afternoon heating above the seasonal climatological mean of roughly 19°C, though persistent marine air and limited insolation from variable cloud cover are expected to cap peaks near 21°C rather than permitting stronger warming toward 23°C. Model consensus shows no significant frontal passages or heat advection in the next 48 hours, leaving resolution dependent on final observations from the Cape Town International Airport station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 18%
20°C 9%
15°C 이하
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
27%
22°C
37%
23°C
18%
24°C
4%
25°C 이상
1%
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 18%
20°C 9%
15°C 이하
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
27%
22°C
37%
23°C
18%
24°C
4%
25°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent South African Weather Service guidance points to maximum temperatures of 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning closely with the market’s tight clustering around 21–22°C. These conditions favor modest afternoon heating above the seasonal climatological mean of roughly 19°C, though persistent marine air and limited insolation from variable cloud cover are expected to cap peaks near 21°C rather than permitting stronger warming toward 23°C. Model consensus shows no significant frontal passages or heat advection in the next 48 hours, leaving resolution dependent on final observations from the Cape Town International Airport station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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