Current forecast consensus from European models such as ECMWF and Météo-France centers Paris maximum temperatures on May 17 near 15–16°C, reflecting modest northwesterly flow, lingering cloud cover, and limited solar heating that keeps readings 2–3°C below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Ensemble spreads show small variations in boundary-layer warming that explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C, with only modest upside for 17°C if afternoon clearing develops. Official resolution will rely on Météo-France station observations, and traders are monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or instability that could alter the peak reading.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
16°C 34%
15°C 32%
17°C 23%
14°C 10%
신규
$10,159 거래량
신규
$10,159 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
32%
16°C
34%
17°C
23%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 34%
15°C 32%
17°C 23%
14°C 10%
신규
$10,159 거래량
신규
$10,159 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
$787 거래량
<1%
11°C
$636 거래량
<1%
12°C
$532 거래량
1%
13°C
$599 거래량
1%
14°C
$1,407 거래량
10%
15°C
$1,007 거래량
32%
16°C
$1,079 거래량
34%
17°C
$987 거래량
23%
18°C
$1,182 거래량
4%
19°C
$1,076 거래량
1%
20°C or higher
$1,077 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from European models such as ECMWF and Météo-France centers Paris maximum temperatures on May 17 near 15–16°C, reflecting modest northwesterly flow, lingering cloud cover, and limited solar heating that keeps readings 2–3°C below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Ensemble spreads show small variations in boundary-layer warming that explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C, with only modest upside for 17°C if afternoon clearing develops. Official resolution will rely on Météo-France station observations, and traders are monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or instability that could alter the peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$10,159종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from European models such as ECMWF and Météo-France centers Paris maximum temperatures on May 17 near 15–16°C, reflecting modest northwesterly flow, lingering cloud cover, and limited solar heating that keeps readings 2–3°C below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Ensemble spreads show small variations in boundary-layer warming that explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C, with only modest upside for 17°C if afternoon clearing develops. Official resolution will rely on Météo-France station observations, and traders are monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or instability that could alter the peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$10,159종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from European models such as ECMWF and Météo-France centers Paris maximum temperatures on May 17 near 15–16°C, reflecting modest northwesterly flow, lingering cloud cover, and limited solar heating that keeps readings 2–3°C below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Ensemble spreads show small variations in boundary-layer warming that explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C, with only modest upside for 17°C if afternoon clearing develops. Official resolution will rely on Météo-France station observations, and traders are monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or instability that could alter the peak reading.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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