Latest ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 15 clustering tightly around 18–19°C, fueling the near-even trader split at 30–31.5% implied probabilities for these outcomes amid short-range uncertainty in peak diurnal heating. A recent cold air mass and southerly winds capped May 13 highs at 14–15°C per Aeroparque observations, but partial clearing and lighter winds are now anticipated to enable recovery toward seasonal May norms of 18°C. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, with final differentiation hinging on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and real-time soundings before the afternoon maximum. Resolution will draw from official Ezeiza or Aeroparque measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 15?
18°C 37%
19°C 33%
17°C 15%
20°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.15
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
15%
18°C
37%
19°C
33%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 37%
19°C 33%
17°C 15%
20°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.15
12°C or below
$436 거래량
<1%
13°C
$934 거래량
<1%
14°C
$457 거래량
<1%
15°C
$491 거래량
1%
16°C
$957 거래량
4%
17°C
$439 거래량
15%
18°C
$273 거래량
37%
19°C
$165 거래량
33%
20°C
$391 거래량
11%
21°C
$728 거래량
3%
22°C or higher
$500 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 15 clustering tightly around 18–19°C, fueling the near-even trader split at 30–31.5% implied probabilities for these outcomes amid short-range uncertainty in peak diurnal heating. A recent cold air mass and southerly winds capped May 13 highs at 14–15°C per Aeroparque observations, but partial clearing and lighter winds are now anticipated to enable recovery toward seasonal May norms of 18°C. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, with final differentiation hinging on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and real-time soundings before the afternoon maximum. Resolution will draw from official Ezeiza or Aeroparque measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$5,750종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 15 clustering tightly around 18–19°C, fueling the near-even trader split at 30–31.5% implied probabilities for these outcomes amid short-range uncertainty in peak diurnal heating. A recent cold air mass and southerly winds capped May 13 highs at 14–15°C per Aeroparque observations, but partial clearing and lighter winds are now anticipated to enable recovery toward seasonal May norms of 18°C. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, with final differentiation hinging on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and real-time soundings before the afternoon maximum. Resolution will draw from official Ezeiza or Aeroparque measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,750종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 15 clustering tightly around 18–19°C, fueling the near-even trader split at 30–31.5% implied probabilities for these outcomes amid short-range uncertainty in peak diurnal heating. A recent cold air mass and southerly winds capped May 13 highs at 14–15°C per Aeroparque observations, but partial clearing and lighter winds are now anticipated to enable recovery toward seasonal May norms of 18°C. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, with final differentiation hinging on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and real-time soundings before the afternoon maximum. Resolution will draw from official Ezeiza or Aeroparque measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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