Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's May 17 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 24–28°C due to a forecasted shift from recent hot days (30–34°C highs through May 14) to increased cloud cover and moderate showers from southerly monsoon flow. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles show daytime highs capped near 26–27°C amid 50–70% precipitation chances suppressing solar insolation, though brief sun breaks could push toward 28°C. Historical May averages near 29°C provide context, but current atmospheric moisture and weak fronts differentiate outcomes; watch CMA updates and May 16 observations for resolution-defining clarity on peak heating.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 광저우에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 광저우에서 가장 높은 온도는?
28°C 26%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 18%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
13%
27°C
24%
28°C
26%
29°C
20%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C 이상
1%
28°C 26%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 18%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
22°C 이하
$486 거래량
<1%
23°C
$212 거래량
1%
24°C
$119 거래량
3%
25°C
$107 거래량
10%
26°C
$29 거래량
13%
27°C
$92 거래량
24%
28°C
$66 거래량
26%
29°C
$23 거래량
20%
30°C
$20 거래량
3%
31°C
$58 거래량
2%
32°C 이상
$107 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's May 17 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 24–28°C due to a forecasted shift from recent hot days (30–34°C highs through May 14) to increased cloud cover and moderate showers from southerly monsoon flow. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles show daytime highs capped near 26–27°C amid 50–70% precipitation chances suppressing solar insolation, though brief sun breaks could push toward 28°C. Historical May averages near 29°C provide context, but current atmospheric moisture and weak fronts differentiate outcomes; watch CMA updates and May 16 observations for resolution-defining clarity on peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$1,319종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's May 17 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 24–28°C due to a forecasted shift from recent hot days (30–34°C highs through May 14) to increased cloud cover and moderate showers from southerly monsoon flow. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles show daytime highs capped near 26–27°C amid 50–70% precipitation chances suppressing solar insolation, though brief sun breaks could push toward 28°C. Historical May averages near 29°C provide context, but current atmospheric moisture and weak fronts differentiate outcomes; watch CMA updates and May 16 observations for resolution-defining clarity on peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,319종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's May 17 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 24–28°C due to a forecasted shift from recent hot days (30–34°C highs through May 14) to increased cloud cover and moderate showers from southerly monsoon flow. China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles show daytime highs capped near 26–27°C amid 50–70% precipitation chances suppressing solar insolation, though brief sun breaks could push toward 28°C. Historical May averages near 29°C provide context, but current atmospheric moisture and weak fronts differentiate outcomes; watch CMA updates and May 16 observations for resolution-defining clarity on peak heating.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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