Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
28°C or higher 88%
27°C 11%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
신규
$19,973 거래량
신규
$19,973 거래량
2026.05.16
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
11%
28°C or higher
88%
28°C or higher 88%
27°C 11%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
신규
$19,973 거래량
신규
$19,973 거래량
2026.05.16
25°C
$3,100 거래량
<1%
26°C
$3,534 거래량
<1%
27°C
$1,940 거래량
11%
28°C or higher
$2,706 거래량
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
거래량
$19,973종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$19,973종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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