National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently favor an upper-60s high at Los Angeles International Airport on May 16, anchoring the 92.7% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are limiting afternoon warming at the coastal station, consistent with typical May climatology where sea-breeze effects cap temperatures several degrees below inland readings. Minor model spread centers on the precise timing of any layer burn-off, which could allow a brief push into the low 70s if winds shift offshore. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving limited scope for outcomes outside the 66-71°F range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
68-69°F 98.2%
70-71°F 1.9%
72°F or higher <1%
$51,712 거래량
$51,712 거래량
68-69°F
98%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 98.2%
70-71°F 1.9%
72°F or higher <1%
$51,712 거래량
$51,712 거래량
68-69°F
98%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently favor an upper-60s high at Los Angeles International Airport on May 16, anchoring the 92.7% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are limiting afternoon warming at the coastal station, consistent with typical May climatology where sea-breeze effects cap temperatures several degrees below inland readings. Minor model spread centers on the precise timing of any layer burn-off, which could allow a brief push into the low 70s if winds shift offshore. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving limited scope for outcomes outside the 66-71°F range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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