National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 56°F in Seattle on May 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and possible thunderstorms from a cool upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest, aligning with the market's 94.5% implied probability for 57°F or below. Onshore flow from the Puget Sound marine layer further suppresses temperatures by limiting solar heating, consistent across major models like GFS and ECMWF. This setup deviates from May climatological averages around 63–65°F due to recent synoptic shifts. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or weakened precipitation allowing brief warming to 58–60°F, though high model consensus and proximity to resolution temper such risks; monitor hourly NWS updates for refinements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 15일 시애틀에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 15일 시애틀에서 가장 높은 기온?
57°F 이하 96.5%
58-59°F 2.8%
60-61°F 1.1%
62-63°F <1%
신규
$17,847 거래량
신규
$17,847 거래량
2026.05.15
57°F 이하
97%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F 이상
<1%
57°F 이하 96.5%
58-59°F 2.8%
60-61°F 1.1%
62-63°F <1%
신규
$17,847 거래량
신규
$17,847 거래량
2026.05.15
57°F 이하
$2,165 거래량
97%
58-59°F
$3,098 거래량
3%
60-61°F
$2,505 거래량
1%
62-63°F
$1,316 거래량
1%
64-65°F
$1,134 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$1,587 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$1,502 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$1,242 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$1,038 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$1,384 거래량
<1%
76°F 이상
$891 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 56°F in Seattle on May 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and possible thunderstorms from a cool upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest, aligning with the market's 94.5% implied probability for 57°F or below. Onshore flow from the Puget Sound marine layer further suppresses temperatures by limiting solar heating, consistent across major models like GFS and ECMWF. This setup deviates from May climatological averages around 63–65°F due to recent synoptic shifts. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or weakened precipitation allowing brief warming to 58–60°F, though high model consensus and proximity to resolution temper such risks; monitor hourly NWS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$17,847종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 56°F in Seattle on May 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and possible thunderstorms from a cool upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest, aligning with the market's 94.5% implied probability for 57°F or below. Onshore flow from the Puget Sound marine layer further suppresses temperatures by limiting solar heating, consistent across major models like GFS and ECMWF. This setup deviates from May climatological averages around 63–65°F due to recent synoptic shifts. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or weakened precipitation allowing brief warming to 58–60°F, though high model consensus and proximity to resolution temper such risks; monitor hourly NWS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,847종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 56°F in Seattle on May 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and possible thunderstorms from a cool upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest, aligning with the market's 94.5% implied probability for 57°F or below. Onshore flow from the Puget Sound marine layer further suppresses temperatures by limiting solar heating, consistent across major models like GFS and ECMWF. This setup deviates from May climatological averages around 63–65°F due to recent synoptic shifts. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or weakened precipitation allowing brief warming to 58–60°F, though high model consensus and proximity to resolution temper such risks; monitor hourly NWS updates for refinements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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