Trader consensus favors a lowest temperature of 52-53°F at 56% implied probability for New York City's Central Park on May 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting an overnight low around 52°F amid northwest winds at 10 mph and mostly cloudy skies following a recent frontal passage. This setup promotes efficient radiative cooling despite partial cloud cover, slightly below the NOAA 30-year climate normal of 54°F for mid-May, as reflected in recent GFS and NAM model ensembles converging on mid-50s lows. Yesterday's minimum hit 54°F, but updated guidance accounts for enhanced mixing and drier air mass. Uncertainty persists with cloud trends potentially trapping heat; KNYC hourly observations will confirm the daily minimum by dawn, with resolution tied to official climate report.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 15?
50-51°F 66%
48-49°F 30.5%
52-53°F 20%
46-47°F 2.9%
신규
신규
2026.05.15
41°F or below
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
31%
50-51°F
66%
52-53°F
28%
54-55°F
<1%
50-51°F 66%
48-49°F 30.5%
52-53°F 20%
46-47°F 2.9%
신규
신규
2026.05.15
41°F or below
$2,557 거래량
<1%
42-43°F
$215 거래량
<1%
44-45°F
$132 거래량
1%
46-47°F
$448 거래량
3%
48-49°F
$440 거래량
31%
50-51°F
$281 거래량
66%
52-53°F
$317 거래량
28%
54-55°F
$709 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a lowest temperature of 52-53°F at 56% implied probability for New York City's Central Park on May 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting an overnight low around 52°F amid northwest winds at 10 mph and mostly cloudy skies following a recent frontal passage. This setup promotes efficient radiative cooling despite partial cloud cover, slightly below the NOAA 30-year climate normal of 54°F for mid-May, as reflected in recent GFS and NAM model ensembles converging on mid-50s lows. Yesterday's minimum hit 54°F, but updated guidance accounts for enhanced mixing and drier air mass. Uncertainty persists with cloud trends potentially trapping heat; KNYC hourly observations will confirm the daily minimum by dawn, with resolution tied to official climate report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
거래량
$8,899종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a lowest temperature of 52-53°F at 56% implied probability for New York City's Central Park on May 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting an overnight low around 52°F amid northwest winds at 10 mph and mostly cloudy skies following a recent frontal passage. This setup promotes efficient radiative cooling despite partial cloud cover, slightly below the NOAA 30-year climate normal of 54°F for mid-May, as reflected in recent GFS and NAM model ensembles converging on mid-50s lows. Yesterday's minimum hit 54°F, but updated guidance accounts for enhanced mixing and drier air mass. Uncertainty persists with cloud trends potentially trapping heat; KNYC hourly observations will confirm the daily minimum by dawn, with resolution tied to official climate report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,899종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETTrader consensus favors a lowest temperature of 52-53°F at 56% implied probability for New York City's Central Park on May 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting an overnight low around 52°F amid northwest winds at 10 mph and mostly cloudy skies following a recent frontal passage. This setup promotes efficient radiative cooling despite partial cloud cover, slightly below the NOAA 30-year climate normal of 54°F for mid-May, as reflected in recent GFS and NAM model ensembles converging on mid-50s lows. Yesterday's minimum hit 54°F, but updated guidance accounts for enhanced mixing and drier air mass. Uncertainty persists with cloud trends potentially trapping heat; KNYC hourly observations will confirm the daily minimum by dawn, with resolution tied to official climate report.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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