Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's lowest temperature on May 16 around 76-79°F, reflecting trader consensus with 32% implied probability for 76-77°F and 30% for 78-79°F. This clustering stems from persistent southerly flow and high boundary layer moisture limiting radiational cooling overnight, alongside warm sea surface temperatures near 82°F off South Florida's coast. Differentiating factors include potential evening cloud cover variations and light winds, which could enhance cooling for the lower bin or trap heat for the higher; historical May climatology averages 74°F lows, but current patterns favor warmer outcomes. Monitor 12Z model runs today and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 16일 마이애미에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
5월 16일 마이애미에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 12%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
73°F 이하
11%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F 이상
<1%
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 12%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
73°F 이하
$43 거래량
11%
74-75°F
$56 거래량
15%
76-77°F
$22 거래량
32%
78-79°F
$48 거래량
27%
80-81°F
$105 거래량
17%
82-83°F
$409 거래량
1%
84-85°F
$158 거래량
1%
86-87°F
$155 거래량
1%
88-89°F
$472 거래량
1%
90-91°F
$292 거래량
<1%
92°F 이상
$519 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's lowest temperature on May 16 around 76-79°F, reflecting trader consensus with 32% implied probability for 76-77°F and 30% for 78-79°F. This clustering stems from persistent southerly flow and high boundary layer moisture limiting radiational cooling overnight, alongside warm sea surface temperatures near 82°F off South Florida's coast. Differentiating factors include potential evening cloud cover variations and light winds, which could enhance cooling for the lower bin or trap heat for the higher; historical May climatology averages 74°F lows, but current patterns favor warmer outcomes. Monitor 12Z model runs today and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$2,280종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's lowest temperature on May 16 around 76-79°F, reflecting trader consensus with 32% implied probability for 76-77°F and 30% for 78-79°F. This clustering stems from persistent southerly flow and high boundary layer moisture limiting radiational cooling overnight, alongside warm sea surface temperatures near 82°F off South Florida's coast. Differentiating factors include potential evening cloud cover variations and light winds, which could enhance cooling for the lower bin or trap heat for the higher; historical May climatology averages 74°F lows, but current patterns favor warmer outcomes. Monitor 12Z model runs today and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$2,280종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Miami's lowest temperature on May 16 around 76-79°F, reflecting trader consensus with 32% implied probability for 76-77°F and 30% for 78-79°F. This clustering stems from persistent southerly flow and high boundary layer moisture limiting radiational cooling overnight, alongside warm sea surface temperatures near 82°F off South Florida's coast. Differentiating factors include potential evening cloud cover variations and light winds, which could enhance cooling for the lower bin or trap heat for the higher; historical May climatology averages 74°F lows, but current patterns favor warmer outcomes. Monitor 12Z model runs today and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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