National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami overnight low around 74°F on May 15, propelled by persistent high dewpoints near 73°F and light southwest winds around 6-10 mph that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 35.5% market-implied probability. Recent observations from May 13 climate data show similar humid conditions with highs in the upper 80s°F, aligning model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that indicate minimal temperature drops overnight. Compared to May climatological averages of 76-77°F lows, the current upper-level ridge and sea breeze convergence suppress deeper cooling, though isolated showers could tweak the minimum. Traders await final NWS hourly updates this evening for potential shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
74-75°F 35%
78-79°F 20.6%
76-77°F 19%
72-73°F 10%
신규
신규
2026.05.15
67°F 이하
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F 이상
<1%
74-75°F 35%
78-79°F 20.6%
76-77°F 19%
72-73°F 10%
신규
신규
2026.05.15
67°F 이하
$102 거래량
1%
68-69°F
$34 거래량
1%
70-71°F
$47 거래량
4%
72-73°F
$55 거래량
10%
74-75°F
$76 거래량
35%
76-77°F
$94 거래량
19%
78-79°F
$72 거래량
19%
80-81°F
$35 거래량
1%
82-83°F
$20 거래량
1%
84-85°F
$663 거래량
<1%
86°F 이상
$3,150 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami overnight low around 74°F on May 15, propelled by persistent high dewpoints near 73°F and light southwest winds around 6-10 mph that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 35.5% market-implied probability. Recent observations from May 13 climate data show similar humid conditions with highs in the upper 80s°F, aligning model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that indicate minimal temperature drops overnight. Compared to May climatological averages of 76-77°F lows, the current upper-level ridge and sea breeze convergence suppress deeper cooling, though isolated showers could tweak the minimum. Traders await final NWS hourly updates this evening for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
거래량
$4,349종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami overnight low around 74°F on May 15, propelled by persistent high dewpoints near 73°F and light southwest winds around 6-10 mph that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 35.5% market-implied probability. Recent observations from May 13 climate data show similar humid conditions with highs in the upper 80s°F, aligning model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that indicate minimal temperature drops overnight. Compared to May climatological averages of 76-77°F lows, the current upper-level ridge and sea breeze convergence suppress deeper cooling, though isolated showers could tweak the minimum. Traders await final NWS hourly updates this evening for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$4,349종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami overnight low around 74°F on May 15, propelled by persistent high dewpoints near 73°F and light southwest winds around 6-10 mph that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 35.5% market-implied probability. Recent observations from May 13 climate data show similar humid conditions with highs in the upper 80s°F, aligning model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that indicate minimal temperature drops overnight. Compared to May climatological averages of 76-77°F lows, the current upper-level ridge and sea breeze convergence suppress deeper cooling, though isolated showers could tweak the minimum. Traders await final NWS hourly updates this evening for potential shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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