Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 마이애미에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
5월 17일 마이애미에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
78-79°F 37%
73°F 이하 32.0%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 16%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
73°F 이하
32%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F 이상
<1%
78-79°F 37%
73°F 이하 32.0%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 16%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
73°F 이하
$224 거래량
32%
74-75°F
$13 거래량
8%
76-77°F
$15 거래량
16%
78-79°F
$56 거래량
37%
80-81°F
$41 거래량
19%
82-83°F
$0 거래량
18%
84-85°F
$78 거래량
2%
86-87°F
$111 거래량
8%
88-89°F
$25 거래량
1%
90-91°F
$15 거래량
1%
92°F 이상
$888 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
거래량
$1,465종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,465종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문