Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show a strong consensus that maximum temperatures will reach 88°F or higher on May 16, supported by a warm, dry air mass advecting from the southwest and clear skies allowing full solar insolation. Model runs from the Global Forecast System and North American Mesoscale Model align on afternoon highs several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of 85°F, with minimal spread in predicted peak values. The market-implied probability of 100% for 88°F or above reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the slim 0.1% chance attached to 86–87°F accounts for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. An unexpected surge of cooler Gulf moisture or rapid afternoon thunderstorm development could lower the peak, though current observations and short-range guidance show no such signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
$36,783 거래량
$36,783 거래량
2026.05.16
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
100%
$36,783 거래량
$36,783 거래량
2026.05.16
86-87°F
$4,101 거래량
<1%
88°F or higher
$5,656 거래량
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show a strong consensus that maximum temperatures will reach 88°F or higher on May 16, supported by a warm, dry air mass advecting from the southwest and clear skies allowing full solar insolation. Model runs from the Global Forecast System and North American Mesoscale Model align on afternoon highs several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of 85°F, with minimal spread in predicted peak values. The market-implied probability of 100% for 88°F or above reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the slim 0.1% chance attached to 86–87°F accounts for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. An unexpected surge of cooler Gulf moisture or rapid afternoon thunderstorm development could lower the peak, though current observations and short-range guidance show no such signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$36,783종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show a strong consensus that maximum temperatures will reach 88°F or higher on May 16, supported by a warm, dry air mass advecting from the southwest and clear skies allowing full solar insolation. Model runs from the Global Forecast System and North American Mesoscale Model align on afternoon highs several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of 85°F, with minimal spread in predicted peak values. The market-implied probability of 100% for 88°F or above reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the slim 0.1% chance attached to 86–87°F accounts for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. An unexpected surge of cooler Gulf moisture or rapid afternoon thunderstorm development could lower the peak, though current observations and short-range guidance show no such signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$36,783종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show a strong consensus that maximum temperatures will reach 88°F or higher on May 16, supported by a warm, dry air mass advecting from the southwest and clear skies allowing full solar insolation. Model runs from the Global Forecast System and North American Mesoscale Model align on afternoon highs several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of 85°F, with minimal spread in predicted peak values. The market-implied probability of 100% for 88°F or above reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, while the slim 0.1% chance attached to 86–87°F accounts for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. An unexpected surge of cooler Gulf moisture or rapid afternoon thunderstorm development could lower the peak, though current observations and short-range guidance show no such signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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