Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a surge of warmer southerly flow arriving ahead of a low-pressure system, positioning New York City for daytime highs centered in the mid-80s on May 17. This places the 84–87 °F bracket as the strongest market-implied outcome while allowing modest probability for an 88–89 °F peak if boundary-layer mixing and downslope warming strengthen. Sea-breeze suppression along the coast and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around historical mid-May climatology but slightly above the 75 °F seasonal normal. Updated model cycles through the weekend will refine the exact maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
5월 17일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 19%
90-91°F 8.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
79°F 이하
2%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F 이상
<1%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 19%
90-91°F 8.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
79°F 이하
$1,808 거래량
2%
80-81°F
$807 거래량
2%
82-83°F
$807 거래량
8%
84-85°F
$265 거래량
27%
86-87°F
$276 거래량
33%
88-89°F
$248 거래량
19%
90-91°F
$192 거래량
8%
92-93°F
$130 거래량
3%
94-95°F
$173 거래량
1%
96-97°F
$335 거래량
<1%
98°F 이상
$349 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a surge of warmer southerly flow arriving ahead of a low-pressure system, positioning New York City for daytime highs centered in the mid-80s on May 17. This places the 84–87 °F bracket as the strongest market-implied outcome while allowing modest probability for an 88–89 °F peak if boundary-layer mixing and downslope warming strengthen. Sea-breeze suppression along the coast and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around historical mid-May climatology but slightly above the 75 °F seasonal normal. Updated model cycles through the weekend will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$5,389종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a surge of warmer southerly flow arriving ahead of a low-pressure system, positioning New York City for daytime highs centered in the mid-80s on May 17. This places the 84–87 °F bracket as the strongest market-implied outcome while allowing modest probability for an 88–89 °F peak if boundary-layer mixing and downslope warming strengthen. Sea-breeze suppression along the coast and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around historical mid-May climatology but slightly above the 75 °F seasonal normal. Updated model cycles through the weekend will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,389종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a surge of warmer southerly flow arriving ahead of a low-pressure system, positioning New York City for daytime highs centered in the mid-80s on May 17. This places the 84–87 °F bracket as the strongest market-implied outcome while allowing modest probability for an 88–89 °F peak if boundary-layer mixing and downslope warming strengthen. Sea-breeze suppression along the coast and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around historical mid-May climatology but slightly above the 75 °F seasonal normal. Updated model cycles through the weekend will refine the exact maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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