Trader sentiment on the May nonfarm payrolls reflects a cooling labor market, with the 0-50k jobs added range leading at 37% implied probability as recent data show softening hiring trends. Weak ADP private employment figures, rising initial jobless claims, and a gradual rise in the unemployment rate have shifted focus toward downside risks from slower services-sector growth and tighter financial conditions. The closely matched 100-150k outcome at 30% underscores uncertainty over whether these trends will accelerate or stabilize ahead of the June release, while consensus economist forecasts hover near 120k. Key near-term catalysts include the next ADP report, weekly claims data, and any shifts in Treasury yields or Fed communications that could alter rate-cut expectations tied to labor-market slack.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트100k – 150k 41%
150k – 200k 26%
50k – 100k 23%
200k+ 19%
<0
13%
0 – 50k
40%
50k – 100k
17%
100k – 150k
44%
150k – 200k
26%
200k+
19%
100k – 150k 41%
150k – 200k 26%
50k – 100k 23%
200k+ 19%
<0
13%
0 – 50k
40%
50k – 100k
17%
100k – 150k
44%
150k – 200k
26%
200k+
19%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the May nonfarm payrolls reflects a cooling labor market, with the 0-50k jobs added range leading at 37% implied probability as recent data show softening hiring trends. Weak ADP private employment figures, rising initial jobless claims, and a gradual rise in the unemployment rate have shifted focus toward downside risks from slower services-sector growth and tighter financial conditions. The closely matched 100-150k outcome at 30% underscores uncertainty over whether these trends will accelerate or stabilize ahead of the June release, while consensus economist forecasts hover near 120k. Key near-term catalysts include the next ADP report, weekly claims data, and any shifts in Treasury yields or Fed communications that could alter rate-cut expectations tied to labor-market slack.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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