Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting accelerated job cuts in the sector's first five months totaling over 135,000 roles per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—a 33% increase from the same period in 2025. Recent May announcements from LinkedIn (5% staff reduction), Cloudflare, Coinbase, Cisco, and PayPal have intensified the pace, with nearly 25,000 cuts in early May alone, as firms restructure around artificial intelligence investments and cost efficiencies amid softening demand in non-AI areas. While broader U.S. layoffs decline, tech's AI-driven pivot sustains upward pressure, though economic recovery or hiring rebounds could temper full-year totals before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트증가
$25,123 거래량
$25,123 거래량
2027.02.28
증가
$25,123 거래량
$25,123 거래량
2027.02.28
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting accelerated job cuts in the sector's first five months totaling over 135,000 roles per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—a 33% increase from the same period in 2025. Recent May announcements from LinkedIn (5% staff reduction), Cloudflare, Coinbase, Cisco, and PayPal have intensified the pace, with nearly 25,000 cuts in early May alone, as firms restructure around artificial intelligence investments and cost efficiencies amid softening demand in non-AI areas. While broader U.S. layoffs decline, tech's AI-driven pivot sustains upward pressure, though economic recovery or hiring rebounds could temper full-year totals before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
거래량
$25,123종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting accelerated job cuts in the sector's first five months totaling over 135,000 roles per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—a 33% increase from the same period in 2025. Recent May announcements from LinkedIn (5% staff reduction), Cloudflare, Coinbase, Cisco, and PayPal have intensified the pace, with nearly 25,000 cuts in early May alone, as firms restructure around artificial intelligence investments and cost efficiencies amid softening demand in non-AI areas. While broader U.S. layoffs decline, tech's AI-driven pivot sustains upward pressure, though economic recovery or hiring rebounds could temper full-year totals before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$25,123종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting accelerated job cuts in the sector's first five months totaling over 135,000 roles per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—a 33% increase from the same period in 2025. Recent May announcements from LinkedIn (5% staff reduction), Cloudflare, Coinbase, Cisco, and PayPal have intensified the pace, with nearly 25,000 cuts in early May alone, as firms restructure around artificial intelligence investments and cost efficiencies amid softening demand in non-AI areas. While broader U.S. layoffs decline, tech's AI-driven pivot sustains upward pressure, though economic recovery or hiring rebounds could temper full-year totals before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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