Recent April 2026 employment data, which held the unemployment rate steady at 4.3% alongside a 115,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls, anchors trader expectations for the May reading. This outcome reflects a resilient yet cooling labor market, with modest job creation offsetting a slight dip in labor force participation and an uptick in initial claims to 211,000 last week. Market-implied odds favor 4.3% or 4.4% at roughly equal strength because forecasters see limited momentum for sharp shifts, though any acceleration in hiring or renewed softening in claims could tip the balance. The May report, due in early June, will resolve against this backdrop of stable monetary policy signals and steady inflation trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4.3% 38%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 16%
4.1% 11.1%
신규
신규
2026.06.05
≤3.9%
3%
4.0%
9%
4.1%
11%
4.2%
21%
4.3%
38%
4.4%
32%
4.5%
11%
4.6%
4%
≥4.7%
3%
4.3% 38%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 16%
4.1% 11.1%
신규
신규
2026.06.05
≤3.9%
$45 거래량
3%
4.0%
$73 거래량
9%
4.1%
$45 거래량
11%
4.2%
$38 거래량
21%
4.3%
$107 거래량
38%
4.4%
$54 거래량
32%
4.5%
$50 거래량
11%
4.6%
$44 거래량
4%
≥4.7%
$51 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent April 2026 employment data, which held the unemployment rate steady at 4.3% alongside a 115,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls, anchors trader expectations for the May reading. This outcome reflects a resilient yet cooling labor market, with modest job creation offsetting a slight dip in labor force participation and an uptick in initial claims to 211,000 last week. Market-implied odds favor 4.3% or 4.4% at roughly equal strength because forecasters see limited momentum for sharp shifts, though any acceleration in hiring or renewed softening in claims could tip the balance. The May report, due in early June, will resolve against this backdrop of stable monetary policy signals and steady inflation trends.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
거래량
$508종료일
2026.06.05마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent April 2026 employment data, which held the unemployment rate steady at 4.3% alongside a 115,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls, anchors trader expectations for the May reading. This outcome reflects a resilient yet cooling labor market, with modest job creation offsetting a slight dip in labor force participation and an uptick in initial claims to 211,000 last week. Market-implied odds favor 4.3% or 4.4% at roughly equal strength because forecasters see limited momentum for sharp shifts, though any acceleration in hiring or renewed softening in claims could tip the balance. The May report, due in early June, will resolve against this backdrop of stable monetary policy signals and steady inflation trends.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$508종료일
2026.06.05마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 employment data, which held the unemployment rate steady at 4.3% alongside a 115,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls, anchors trader expectations for the May reading. This outcome reflects a resilient yet cooling labor market, with modest job creation offsetting a slight dip in labor force participation and an uptick in initial claims to 211,000 last week. Market-implied odds favor 4.3% or 4.4% at roughly equal strength because forecasters see limited momentum for sharp shifts, though any acceleration in hiring or renewed softening in claims could tip the balance. The May report, due in early June, will resolve against this backdrop of stable monetary policy signals and steady inflation trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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