Recent increases in active housing listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal employment uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward price momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome at 44.5% probability. April 2026 data showed median sold prices near 661k with modest 0.9% year-over-year gains, while Zillow's latest Home Value Index for the broader region sat around 580k as of late April, reflecting softening demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, now prices adjacent bands at 23.5% each, underscoring tight competition ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key catalysts include upcoming mortgage rate trends and any fresh labor market signals that could influence buyer sentiment in this closely contested window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
553 - 559k 31%
566 - 572k 24%
572 - 579k 12%
579 - 585k 11%
<553k
8%
553 - 559k
23%
559 - 566k
29%
566 - 572k
24%
572 - 579k
12%
579 - 585k
11%
585 - 598k
11%
>598k
11%
553 - 559k 31%
566 - 572k 24%
572 - 579k 12%
579 - 585k 11%
<553k
8%
553 - 559k
23%
559 - 566k
29%
566 - 572k
24%
572 - 579k
12%
579 - 585k
11%
585 - 598k
11%
>598k
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
마켓 개설일: May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent increases in active housing listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal employment uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward price momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome at 44.5% probability. April 2026 data showed median sold prices near 661k with modest 0.9% year-over-year gains, while Zillow's latest Home Value Index for the broader region sat around 580k as of late April, reflecting softening demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, now prices adjacent bands at 23.5% each, underscoring tight competition ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key catalysts include upcoming mortgage rate trends and any fresh labor market signals that could influence buyer sentiment in this closely contested window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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