The Bank of Korea’s data-dependent stance amid persistent Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth and inflation underpins the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers held the base rate steady at 2.50% in April for the seventh consecutive time, citing elevated oil prices that lifted April CPI to 2.6% year-over-year while first-quarter GDP remained supported near 1.7% by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling consideration of future rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, given the institution’s emphasis on monitoring incoming data before any policy shift. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of an increase before the next policy meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트동결 97.6%
인상 2.0%
인하 <1%
$102,521 거래량
$102,521 거래량
인하
<1%
동결
98%
인상
2%
동결 97.6%
인상 2.0%
인하 <1%
$102,521 거래량
$102,521 거래량
인하
<1%
동결
98%
인상
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s data-dependent stance amid persistent Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth and inflation underpins the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers held the base rate steady at 2.50% in April for the seventh consecutive time, citing elevated oil prices that lifted April CPI to 2.6% year-over-year while first-quarter GDP remained supported near 1.7% by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling consideration of future rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, given the institution’s emphasis on monitoring incoming data before any policy shift. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of an increase before the next policy meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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