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세계·RBA

6월 호주준비은행 결정?

icon for 6월 호주준비은행 결정?
세계·RBA

6월 호주준비은행 결정?

6월 16

8월 11

6월 16

8월 11

변경 없음 81%

인상 18%

인하 <1%

Polymarket

$25,462 거래량

변경 없음 81%

인상 18%

인하 <1%

Polymarket

$25,462 거래량

인하

$7,827 거래량

<1%

변경 없음

$8,790 거래량

81%

인상

$8,845 거래량

24%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The recent May 5 decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the June 16 meeting. Elevated Q1 2026 CPI readings and oil price pressures from Middle East tensions prompted the hike and informed the RBA’s May Statement on Monetary Policy, which now projects trimmed mean inflation peaking before easing toward the 2.5 percent target by 2028 under an assumed 60 basis point policy tightening path. Market-implied odds of 81.5 percent for no change reflect this data-dependent stance and the modest 13-17 percent probability priced in ASX futures, while the 24 percent chance of an increase captures residual upside risks from persistent capacity pressures. Upcoming Q2 CPI and labor market releases will provide the next key inputs ahead of the June resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
거래량
$25,462
종료일
2026.06.16
마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The recent May 5 decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the June 16 meeting. Elevated Q1 2026 CPI readings and oil price pressures from Middle East tensions prompted the hike and informed the RBA’s May Statement on Monetary Policy, which now projects trimmed mean inflation peaking before easing toward the 2.5 percent target by 2028 under an assumed 60 basis point policy tightening path. Market-implied odds of 81.5 percent for no change reflect this data-dependent stance and the modest 13-17 percent probability priced in ASX futures, while the 24 percent chance of an increase captures residual upside risks from persistent capacity pressures. Upcoming Q2 CPI and labor market releases will provide the next key inputs ahead of the June resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
거래량
$25,462
종료일
2026.06.16
마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

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자주 묻는 질문

"6월 호주준비은행 결정?"은 3개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 81%의 "변경 없음"이며, 이어서 24%의 "인상"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 81¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 81%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "6월 호주준비은행 결정?"은 총 $25.5K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 19, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"6월 호주준비은행 결정?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 3개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"6월 호주준비은행 결정?"의 현재 유력 후보는 81%의 "변경 없음"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 81%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 24%의 "인상"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"6월 호주준비은행 결정?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.