The Bank of Japan’s April 27-28 policy meeting has anchored elevated odds for a 25-basis-point rate increase at the June 15-16 gathering, with traders assigning a 79.8% implied probability to the move that would lift the policy rate to 1.00%. A 6-3 board split, featuring three dissenters favoring an immediate hike, combined with an upgrade of the fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8% from 1.9%, underscored upside price risks tied to Middle East energy shocks and yen weakness near 157. Although the central bank trimmed its growth projection to 0.5%, the hawkish tone and subsequent May summary of opinions reinforced expectations that policymakers aim to stay ahead of inflation pressures. The slim 19.5% chance of no change and negligible probabilities for larger hikes or cuts reflect the narrow window for new data—particularly May inflation releases—to alter the rate path ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트25bp 인상 79.8%
변경 없음 20%
50bp 이상 인상 1.2%
금리 인하 <1%
$114,992 거래량
$114,992 거래량
2026.06.16
금리 인하
1%
변경 없음
20%
25bp 인상
80%
50bp 이상 인상
1%
25bp 인상 79.8%
변경 없음 20%
50bp 이상 인상 1.2%
금리 인하 <1%
$114,992 거래량
$114,992 거래량
2026.06.16
금리 인하
$34,145 거래량
1%
변경 없음
$28,989 거래량
20%
25bp 인상
$27,491 거래량
80%
50bp 이상 인상
$24,367 거래량
1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s April 27-28 policy meeting has anchored elevated odds for a 25-basis-point rate increase at the June 15-16 gathering, with traders assigning a 79.8% implied probability to the move that would lift the policy rate to 1.00%. A 6-3 board split, featuring three dissenters favoring an immediate hike, combined with an upgrade of the fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8% from 1.9%, underscored upside price risks tied to Middle East energy shocks and yen weakness near 157. Although the central bank trimmed its growth projection to 0.5%, the hawkish tone and subsequent May summary of opinions reinforced expectations that policymakers aim to stay ahead of inflation pressures. The slim 19.5% chance of no change and negligible probabilities for larger hikes or cuts reflect the narrow window for new data—particularly May inflation releases—to alter the rate path ahead of resolution.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
거래량
$114,992종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s April 27-28 policy meeting has anchored elevated odds for a 25-basis-point rate increase at the June 15-16 gathering, with traders assigning a 79.8% implied probability to the move that would lift the policy rate to 1.00%. A 6-3 board split, featuring three dissenters favoring an immediate hike, combined with an upgrade of the fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8% from 1.9%, underscored upside price risks tied to Middle East energy shocks and yen weakness near 157. Although the central bank trimmed its growth projection to 0.5%, the hawkish tone and subsequent May summary of opinions reinforced expectations that policymakers aim to stay ahead of inflation pressures. The slim 19.5% chance of no change and negligible probabilities for larger hikes or cuts reflect the narrow window for new data—particularly May inflation releases—to alter the rate path ahead of resolution.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$114,992종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Japan’s April 27-28 policy meeting has anchored elevated odds for a 25-basis-point rate increase at the June 15-16 gathering, with traders assigning a 79.8% implied probability to the move that would lift the policy rate to 1.00%. A 6-3 board split, featuring three dissenters favoring an immediate hike, combined with an upgrade of the fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8% from 1.9%, underscored upside price risks tied to Middle East energy shocks and yen weakness near 157. Although the central bank trimmed its growth projection to 0.5%, the hawkish tone and subsequent May summary of opinions reinforced expectations that policymakers aim to stay ahead of inflation pressures. The slim 19.5% chance of no change and negligible probabilities for larger hikes or cuts reflect the narrow window for new data—particularly May inflation releases—to alter the rate path ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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