Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Chinese President Xi Jinping last met on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC summit in South Korea, agreeing to pursue stable bilateral ties, but no subsequent leader-level engagement has occurred amid a 2025–2026 diplomatic crisis sparked by Takaichi's Taiwan comments, prompting Chinese retaliation and demands for retraction. Recent U.S.-Japan coordination intensified as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Takaichi on May 12, 2026, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, focusing on supply chain resilience, rare earths, and Taiwan Strait stability, signaling Tokyo's hawkish posture. With no scheduled bilateral talks or summits like G20 on the horizon before December 31, trader consensus prices a modest 34% implied probability of another meeting by year-end, reflecting persistent tensions and absence of de-escalation signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
$13,890 거래량
2026.12.31
June 30
1%
December 31
38%
$13,890 거래량
June 30
$2,880 거래량
1%
December 31
$11,010 거래량
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Chinese President Xi Jinping last met on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC summit in South Korea, agreeing to pursue stable bilateral ties, but no subsequent leader-level engagement has occurred amid a 2025–2026 diplomatic crisis sparked by Takaichi's Taiwan comments, prompting Chinese retaliation and demands for retraction. Recent U.S.-Japan coordination intensified as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Takaichi on May 12, 2026, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, focusing on supply chain resilience, rare earths, and Taiwan Strait stability, signaling Tokyo's hawkish posture. With no scheduled bilateral talks or summits like G20 on the horizon before December 31, trader consensus prices a modest 34% implied probability of another meeting by year-end, reflecting persistent tensions and absence of de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
거래량
$13,890종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Chinese President Xi Jinping last met on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC summit in South Korea, agreeing to pursue stable bilateral ties, but no subsequent leader-level engagement has occurred amid a 2025–2026 diplomatic crisis sparked by Takaichi's Taiwan comments, prompting Chinese retaliation and demands for retraction. Recent U.S.-Japan coordination intensified as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Takaichi on May 12, 2026, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, focusing on supply chain resilience, rare earths, and Taiwan Strait stability, signaling Tokyo's hawkish posture. With no scheduled bilateral talks or summits like G20 on the horizon before December 31, trader consensus prices a modest 34% implied probability of another meeting by year-end, reflecting persistent tensions and absence of de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$13,890종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Chinese President Xi Jinping last met on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC summit in South Korea, agreeing to pursue stable bilateral ties, but no subsequent leader-level engagement has occurred amid a 2025–2026 diplomatic crisis sparked by Takaichi's Taiwan comments, prompting Chinese retaliation and demands for retraction. Recent U.S.-Japan coordination intensified as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Takaichi on May 12, 2026, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, focusing on supply chain resilience, rare earths, and Taiwan Strait stability, signaling Tokyo's hawkish posture. With no scheduled bilateral talks or summits like G20 on the horizon before December 31, trader consensus prices a modest 34% implied probability of another meeting by year-end, reflecting persistent tensions and absence of de-escalation signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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