Trader consensus prices a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting his ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) amid ongoing political purges. In January 2026, unverified rumors of a failed plot involving top generals like Zhang Youxia—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission—circulated after corruption probes and arrests of nearly 3,000 personnel, but Xi swiftly neutralized threats, extending his anti-corruption campaign into his inner circle without destabilizing Zhongnanhai. No confirmed challenges have emerged since, underscoring institutional loyalty and surveillance dominance. Realistic shifts could stem from economic crisis, Taiwan escalation, or Xi's health decline, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$127,557 거래량
$127,557 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$127,557 거래량
$127,557 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting his ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) amid ongoing political purges. In January 2026, unverified rumors of a failed plot involving top generals like Zhang Youxia—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission—circulated after corruption probes and arrests of nearly 3,000 personnel, but Xi swiftly neutralized threats, extending his anti-corruption campaign into his inner circle without destabilizing Zhongnanhai. No confirmed challenges have emerged since, underscoring institutional loyalty and surveillance dominance. Realistic shifts could stem from economic crisis, Taiwan escalation, or Xi's health decline, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$127,557종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting his ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) amid ongoing political purges. In January 2026, unverified rumors of a failed plot involving top generals like Zhang Youxia—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission—circulated after corruption probes and arrests of nearly 3,000 personnel, but Xi swiftly neutralized threats, extending his anti-corruption campaign into his inner circle without destabilizing Zhongnanhai. No confirmed challenges have emerged since, underscoring institutional loyalty and surveillance dominance. Realistic shifts could stem from economic crisis, Taiwan escalation, or Xi's health decline, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$127,557종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting his ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) amid ongoing political purges. In January 2026, unverified rumors of a failed plot involving top generals like Zhang Youxia—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission—circulated after corruption probes and arrests of nearly 3,000 personnel, but Xi swiftly neutralized threats, extending his anti-corruption campaign into his inner circle without destabilizing Zhongnanhai. No confirmed challenges have emerged since, underscoring institutional loyalty and surveillance dominance. Realistic shifts could stem from economic crisis, Taiwan escalation, or Xi's health decline, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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