China's Defense Ministry announced on January 24, 2026, that Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia faces investigation for serious violations of discipline and law, capping Xi Jinping's sweeping anti-corruption purge in the People's Liberation Army that has toppled multiple senior officers. Four months later, with no formal charges, trial, or sentencing disclosed amid the opaque CCP disciplinary process, traders price an 88.5% implied probability against prison before 2027, reflecting procedural delays and Zhang's prior status as a close Xi ally. Recent May 7 suspended death sentences for ex-Defense Ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu signal continued scrutiny but underscore the lack of parallel action on Zhang, leaving his fate uncertain ahead of the 2027 Party Congress.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$122,867 거래량
$122,867 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$122,867 거래량
$122,867 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.China's Defense Ministry announced on January 24, 2026, that Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia faces investigation for serious violations of discipline and law, capping Xi Jinping's sweeping anti-corruption purge in the People's Liberation Army that has toppled multiple senior officers. Four months later, with no formal charges, trial, or sentencing disclosed amid the opaque CCP disciplinary process, traders price an 88.5% implied probability against prison before 2027, reflecting procedural delays and Zhang's prior status as a close Xi ally. Recent May 7 suspended death sentences for ex-Defense Ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu signal continued scrutiny but underscore the lack of parallel action on Zhang, leaving his fate uncertain ahead of the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
거래량
$122,867종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.China's Defense Ministry announced on January 24, 2026, that Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia faces investigation for serious violations of discipline and law, capping Xi Jinping's sweeping anti-corruption purge in the People's Liberation Army that has toppled multiple senior officers. Four months later, with no formal charges, trial, or sentencing disclosed amid the opaque CCP disciplinary process, traders price an 88.5% implied probability against prison before 2027, reflecting procedural delays and Zhang's prior status as a close Xi ally. Recent May 7 suspended death sentences for ex-Defense Ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu signal continued scrutiny but underscore the lack of parallel action on Zhang, leaving his fate uncertain ahead of the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$122,867종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...China's Defense Ministry announced on January 24, 2026, that Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia faces investigation for serious violations of discipline and law, capping Xi Jinping's sweeping anti-corruption purge in the People's Liberation Army that has toppled multiple senior officers. Four months later, with no formal charges, trial, or sentencing disclosed amid the opaque CCP disciplinary process, traders price an 88.5% implied probability against prison before 2027, reflecting procedural delays and Zhang's prior status as a close Xi ally. Recent May 7 suspended death sentences for ex-Defense Ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu signal continued scrutiny but underscore the lack of parallel action on Zhang, leaving his fate uncertain ahead of the 2027 Party Congress.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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