The Bank of Korea’s May 2026 decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% while lifting its 2026 GDP forecast to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven export strength and its inflation projection to 2.7% on higher oil prices has anchored trader expectations for a 25-basis-point hike at the July Monetary Policy Board meeting. Two board members dissented in favor of tightening, and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s comments signaled a data-dependent pivot toward policy normalization after eight straight holds. Market-implied odds of 72.5% for an increase reflect this hawkish shift, while the 23% probability of no change incorporates residual geopolitical uncertainty and the softer won; the next key catalysts are incoming CPI prints and any FOMC signals ahead of the July 16 decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Bank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Increase 92%
No Change 7%
Decrease <1%
$76,413 거래량
$76,413 거래량
2026.07.16
Decrease
<1%
No Change
7%
Increase
92%
Increase 92%
No Change 7%
Decrease <1%
$76,413 거래량
$76,413 거래량
2026.07.16
Decrease
$34,198 거래량
<1%
No Change
$23,174 거래량
7%
Increase
$19,041 거래량
92%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Korea’s May 2026 decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% while lifting its 2026 GDP forecast to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven export strength and its inflation projection to 2.7% on higher oil prices has anchored trader expectations for a 25-basis-point hike at the July Monetary Policy Board meeting. Two board members dissented in favor of tightening, and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s comments signaled a data-dependent pivot toward policy normalization after eight straight holds. Market-implied odds of 72.5% for an increase reflect this hawkish shift, while the 23% probability of no change incorporates residual geopolitical uncertainty and the softer won; the next key catalysts are incoming CPI prints and any FOMC signals ahead of the July 16 decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
거래량
$76,413종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Korea’s May 2026 decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% while lifting its 2026 GDP forecast to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven export strength and its inflation projection to 2.7% on higher oil prices has anchored trader expectations for a 25-basis-point hike at the July Monetary Policy Board meeting. Two board members dissented in favor of tightening, and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s comments signaled a data-dependent pivot toward policy normalization after eight straight holds. Market-implied odds of 72.5% for an increase reflect this hawkish shift, while the 23% probability of no change incorporates residual geopolitical uncertainty and the softer won; the next key catalysts are incoming CPI prints and any FOMC signals ahead of the July 16 decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$76,413종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s May 2026 decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% while lifting its 2026 GDP forecast to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven export strength and its inflation projection to 2.7% on higher oil prices has anchored trader expectations for a 25-basis-point hike at the July Monetary Policy Board meeting. Two board members dissented in favor of tightening, and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s comments signaled a data-dependent pivot toward policy normalization after eight straight holds. Market-implied odds of 72.5% for an increase reflect this hawkish shift, while the 23% probability of no change incorporates residual geopolitical uncertainty and the softer won; the next key catalysts are incoming CPI prints and any FOMC signals ahead of the July 16 decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문