South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity under Article 84 shields him from arrest or prosecution on most criminal charges, including ongoing cases related to election law violations, Daejang-dong development graft allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances to North Korea, until his term concludes well beyond 2026. Trials remain suspended since his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment, with courts postponing hearings indefinitely. Recent Democratic Party efforts, including May 2026 special counsel bills targeting prosecutors for alleged fabricated indictments against him, further reduce arrest risks by aiming to nullify charges. Absent impeachment or extraordinary developments like insurrection accusations, trader consensus reflects low likelihood of detention before year-end, reinforced by historical precedent of no sitting president facing arrest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$313,547 거래량
$313,547 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$313,547 거래량
$313,547 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity under Article 84 shields him from arrest or prosecution on most criminal charges, including ongoing cases related to election law violations, Daejang-dong development graft allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances to North Korea, until his term concludes well beyond 2026. Trials remain suspended since his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment, with courts postponing hearings indefinitely. Recent Democratic Party efforts, including May 2026 special counsel bills targeting prosecutors for alleged fabricated indictments against him, further reduce arrest risks by aiming to nullify charges. Absent impeachment or extraordinary developments like insurrection accusations, trader consensus reflects low likelihood of detention before year-end, reinforced by historical precedent of no sitting president facing arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
거래량
$313,547종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity under Article 84 shields him from arrest or prosecution on most criminal charges, including ongoing cases related to election law violations, Daejang-dong development graft allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances to North Korea, until his term concludes well beyond 2026. Trials remain suspended since his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment, with courts postponing hearings indefinitely. Recent Democratic Party efforts, including May 2026 special counsel bills targeting prosecutors for alleged fabricated indictments against him, further reduce arrest risks by aiming to nullify charges. Absent impeachment or extraordinary developments like insurrection accusations, trader consensus reflects low likelihood of detention before year-end, reinforced by historical precedent of no sitting president facing arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$313,547종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity under Article 84 shields him from arrest or prosecution on most criminal charges, including ongoing cases related to election law violations, Daejang-dong development graft allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances to North Korea, until his term concludes well beyond 2026. Trials remain suspended since his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment, with courts postponing hearings indefinitely. Recent Democratic Party efforts, including May 2026 special counsel bills targeting prosecutors for alleged fabricated indictments against him, further reduce arrest risks by aiming to nullify charges. Absent impeachment or extraordinary developments like insurrection accusations, trader consensus reflects low likelihood of detention before year-end, reinforced by historical precedent of no sitting president facing arrest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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