President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position drives the 90.8% "No" probability on impeachment before 2027, as his Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority insufficient for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote needed to advance a motion, let alone Constitutional Court ratification for grave violations. Recent delays in reviewing a public impeachment petition exceeding 150,000 signatures—extended to May 2028 by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—highlight ruling party control but no procedural progress toward actual impeachment. With no major scandals in the past 30 days and Yoon Suk-yeol's February conviction further weakening rivals, traders price in stability ahead of June 3 local elections where Lee's party leads polls decisively. Late-breaking crises could alter odds, but current catalysts favor continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position drives the 90.8% "No" probability on impeachment before 2027, as his Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority insufficient for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote needed to advance a motion, let alone Constitutional Court ratification for grave violations. Recent delays in reviewing a public impeachment petition exceeding 150,000 signatures—extended to May 2028 by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—highlight ruling party control but no procedural progress toward actual impeachment. With no major scandals in the past 30 days and Yoon Suk-yeol's February conviction further weakening rivals, traders price in stability ahead of June 3 local elections where Lee's party leads polls decisively. Late-breaking crises could alter odds, but current catalysts favor continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
거래량
$9,155종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position drives the 90.8% "No" probability on impeachment before 2027, as his Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority insufficient for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote needed to advance a motion, let alone Constitutional Court ratification for grave violations. Recent delays in reviewing a public impeachment petition exceeding 150,000 signatures—extended to May 2028 by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—highlight ruling party control but no procedural progress toward actual impeachment. With no major scandals in the past 30 days and Yoon Suk-yeol's February conviction further weakening rivals, traders price in stability ahead of June 3 local elections where Lee's party leads polls decisively. Late-breaking crises could alter odds, but current catalysts favor continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
거래량
$9,155종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position drives the 90.8% "No" probability on impeachment before 2027, as his Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority insufficient for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote needed to advance a motion, let alone Constitutional Court ratification for grave violations. Recent delays in reviewing a public impeachment petition exceeding 150,000 signatures—extended to May 2028 by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—highlight ruling party control but no procedural progress toward actual impeachment. With no major scandals in the past 30 days and Yoon Suk-yeol's February conviction further weakening rivals, traders price in stability ahead of June 3 local elections where Lee's party leads polls decisively. Late-breaking crises could alter odds, but current catalysts favor continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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