Internal party divisions and mounting pressure on Jang Dong-hyeok have lifted the implied probability of his departure as People Power Party leader by June 30 to 67 percent. Persistent criticism from within the PPP, including public calls for his resignation by Busan mayoral candidate Joo Gwang-deok and other figures frustrated by low approval ratings, has intensified ahead of the June 3 local elections. Jang has rejected these demands since late April, pledging to await post-election judgment, yet factional tensions and candidate distancing from central leadership signal growing risk of a no-confidence vote or leadership challenge immediately afterward. Traders view the election results as a likely catalyst for accelerated change, outweighing his current defiance and hardline base support.