Recent Q1 2026 data showing 3.6% year-over-year GDP expansion—the fastest pace in five years—has anchored trader sentiment around the 3.5–4.4% range for Q2, with the 3.5–3.9% and 4.0–4.4% buckets commanding the highest combined implied probability amid closely matched odds. AI-driven semiconductor exports rose 5.1% and supported facilities investment gains of 4.8%, while April trade surged 48% year-over-year, reinforcing momentum from global tech demand. Counterbalancing pressures include 2.6% inflation, modest April employment gains of just 74,000 jobs, and downside risks from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, which could weigh on consumption and capital spending. Institutions such as KDI and ING have lifted full-year 2026 forecasts to 2.5–2.8% on the back of export strength and fiscal support. May trade figures and global tech orders remain key near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow probability split before the July advance release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트3.0–3.4% 43%
2.5–2.9% 35.4%
2.0–2.4% 21%
<1.5% 19.2%
신규
신규
2026.07.23
<1.5%
19%
1.5–1.9%
31%
2.0–2.4%
21%
2.5–2.9%
35%
3.0–3.4%
24%
3.5–3.9%
60%
4.0–4.4%
49%
4.5%+
25%
3.0–3.4% 43%
2.5–2.9% 35.4%
2.0–2.4% 21%
<1.5% 19.2%
신규
신규
2026.07.23
<1.5%
$278 거래량
19%
1.5–1.9%
$184 거래량
31%
2.0–2.4%
$351 거래량
21%
2.5–2.9%
$161 거래량
35%
3.0–3.4%
$154 거래량
24%
3.5–3.9%
$319 거래량
60%
4.0–4.4%
$276 거래량
49%
4.5%+
$238 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Recent Q1 2026 data showing 3.6% year-over-year GDP expansion—the fastest pace in five years—has anchored trader sentiment around the 3.5–4.4% range for Q2, with the 3.5–3.9% and 4.0–4.4% buckets commanding the highest combined implied probability amid closely matched odds. AI-driven semiconductor exports rose 5.1% and supported facilities investment gains of 4.8%, while April trade surged 48% year-over-year, reinforcing momentum from global tech demand. Counterbalancing pressures include 2.6% inflation, modest April employment gains of just 74,000 jobs, and downside risks from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, which could weigh on consumption and capital spending. Institutions such as KDI and ING have lifted full-year 2026 forecasts to 2.5–2.8% on the back of export strength and fiscal support. May trade figures and global tech orders remain key near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow probability split before the July advance release.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
마켓 개설일: Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
거래량
$1,961종료일
2026.07.23마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Recent Q1 2026 data showing 3.6% year-over-year GDP expansion—the fastest pace in five years—has anchored trader sentiment around the 3.5–4.4% range for Q2, with the 3.5–3.9% and 4.0–4.4% buckets commanding the highest combined implied probability amid closely matched odds. AI-driven semiconductor exports rose 5.1% and supported facilities investment gains of 4.8%, while April trade surged 48% year-over-year, reinforcing momentum from global tech demand. Counterbalancing pressures include 2.6% inflation, modest April employment gains of just 74,000 jobs, and downside risks from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, which could weigh on consumption and capital spending. Institutions such as KDI and ING have lifted full-year 2026 forecasts to 2.5–2.8% on the back of export strength and fiscal support. May trade figures and global tech orders remain key near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow probability split before the July advance release.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
거래량
$1,961종료일
2026.07.23마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q1 2026 data showing 3.6% year-over-year GDP expansion—the fastest pace in five years—has anchored trader sentiment around the 3.5–4.4% range for Q2, with the 3.5–3.9% and 4.0–4.4% buckets commanding the highest combined implied probability amid closely matched odds. AI-driven semiconductor exports rose 5.1% and supported facilities investment gains of 4.8%, while April trade surged 48% year-over-year, reinforcing momentum from global tech demand. Counterbalancing pressures include 2.6% inflation, modest April employment gains of just 74,000 jobs, and downside risks from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, which could weigh on consumption and capital spending. Institutions such as KDI and ING have lifted full-year 2026 forecasts to 2.5–2.8% on the back of export strength and fiscal support. May trade figures and global tech orders remain key near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow probability split before the July advance release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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