Recent developments in South Korea's parliamentary by-elections, set for June 3 alongside nationwide local contests, have centered on the People Power Party's nomination process for roughly a dozen contested National Assembly seats vacated by resignations. Internal party frictions and a limited pool of fresh candidates have prompted reliance on veteran figures, while the Democratic Party has positioned the races as a direct assessment of conservative performance amid ongoing political recovery. High-profile independents, including former PPP leader Han Dong-hoon contesting a Busan district, along with competitive dynamics in swing constituencies, have tempered expectations for larger gains. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in probabilities favoring two or three seats as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트3 49%
2 31%
1 9.7%
4 8.2%
$37,329 거래량
$37,329 거래량
2026.06.03
0
5%
1
10%
2
31%
3
49%
4
8%
5석
2%
6석 이상
1%
3 49%
2 31%
1 9.7%
4 8.2%
$37,329 거래량
$37,329 거래량
2026.06.03
0
$4,528 거래량
5%
1
$4,491 거래량
10%
2
$11,280 거래량
31%
3
$5,622 거래량
49%
4
$4,582 거래량
8%
5석
$2,434 거래량
2%
6석 이상
$4,393 거래량
1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent developments in South Korea's parliamentary by-elections, set for June 3 alongside nationwide local contests, have centered on the People Power Party's nomination process for roughly a dozen contested National Assembly seats vacated by resignations. Internal party frictions and a limited pool of fresh candidates have prompted reliance on veteran figures, while the Democratic Party has positioned the races as a direct assessment of conservative performance amid ongoing political recovery. High-profile independents, including former PPP leader Han Dong-hoon contesting a Busan district, along with competitive dynamics in swing constituencies, have tempered expectations for larger gains. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in probabilities favoring two or three seats as the most probable outcomes.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
마켓 개설일: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
거래량
$37,329종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent developments in South Korea's parliamentary by-elections, set for June 3 alongside nationwide local contests, have centered on the People Power Party's nomination process for roughly a dozen contested National Assembly seats vacated by resignations. Internal party frictions and a limited pool of fresh candidates have prompted reliance on veteran figures, while the Democratic Party has positioned the races as a direct assessment of conservative performance amid ongoing political recovery. High-profile independents, including former PPP leader Han Dong-hoon contesting a Busan district, along with competitive dynamics in swing constituencies, have tempered expectations for larger gains. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in probabilities favoring two or three seats as the most probable outcomes.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
거래량
$37,329종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in South Korea's parliamentary by-elections, set for June 3 alongside nationwide local contests, have centered on the People Power Party's nomination process for roughly a dozen contested National Assembly seats vacated by resignations. Internal party frictions and a limited pool of fresh candidates have prompted reliance on veteran figures, while the Democratic Party has positioned the races as a direct assessment of conservative performance amid ongoing political recovery. High-profile independents, including former PPP leader Han Dong-hoon contesting a Busan district, along with competitive dynamics in swing constituencies, have tempered expectations for larger gains. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in probabilities favoring two or three seats as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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