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세계·글로벌 선거

콜롬비아 대통령 선거 1차 승자는?

icon for 콜롬비아 대통령 선거 1차 승자는?
세계·글로벌 선거

콜롬비아 대통령 선거 1차 승자는?

이반 세페다 카스트로 84%

아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야 15.8%

팔로마 발렌시아 <1%

비키 다빌라 <1%

Polymarket

$5,908,499 거래량

이반 세페다 카스트로 84%

아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야 15.8%

팔로마 발렌시아 <1%

비키 다빌라 <1%

Polymarket

$5,908,499 거래량

icon for 이반 세페다 카스트로

이반 세페다 카스트로

$517,099 거래량

84%

icon for 아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야

아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야

$1,020,979 거래량

16%

icon for 팔로마 발렌시아

팔로마 발렌시아

$567,233 거래량

1%

icon for 비키 다빌라

비키 다빌라

$439,750 거래량

<1%

icon for 루이스 힐베르토 무리요

루이스 힐베르토 무리요

$298,122 거래량

<1%

icon for 클라우디아 로페스

클라우디아 로페스

$300,293 거래량

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$283,057 거래량

<1%

icon for 후안 다니엘 오비에도

후안 다니엘 오비에도

$156,932 거래량

<1%

icon for 구스타보 볼리바르

구스타보 볼리바르

$229,484 거래량

<1%

icon for 세르히오 파하르도

세르히오 파하르도

$209,235 거래량

<1%

icon for 후안 마누엘 갈란

후안 마누엘 갈란

$235,184 거래량

<1%

icon for 헤르만 바르가스 예라스

헤르만 바르가스 예라스

$287,138 거래량

<1%

icon for 로이 바레라스

로이 바레라스

$285,258 거래량

<1%

icon for 다니엘 킨테로

다니엘 킨테로

$256,692 거래량

<1%

icon for 후안 카를로스 핀손

후안 카를로스 핀손

$144,829 거래량

<1%

icon for 마우리시오 카르데나스

마우리시오 카르데나스

$335,378 거래량

<1%

icon for 엔리케 페냐로사

엔리케 페냐로사

$305,336 거래량

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro maintains a commanding lead in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest because polls consistently place him well ahead of a fragmented field, reflecting unified backing from the ruling Historic Pact coalition and continuity with President Gustavo Petro’s agenda. Recent surveys from Invamer, Guarumo, and AtlasIntel show Cepeda at 38–44 percent support, far ahead of far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella at 21–30 percent and center-right contender Paloma Valencia at 19–23 percent, with all other registered candidates below 10 percent. The right’s division between de la Espriella and Valencia has prevented any challenger from closing the gap, while Cepeda benefits from consolidated left-wing turnout and primary victories. Traders therefore assign him an overwhelming implied probability of securing the plurality on election night, though the contest remains open to last-minute shifts from violence concerns or turnout variations.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$5,908,499
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro maintains a commanding lead in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest because polls consistently place him well ahead of a fragmented field, reflecting unified backing from the ruling Historic Pact coalition and continuity with President Gustavo Petro’s agenda. Recent surveys from Invamer, Guarumo, and AtlasIntel show Cepeda at 38–44 percent support, far ahead of far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella at 21–30 percent and center-right contender Paloma Valencia at 19–23 percent, with all other registered candidates below 10 percent. The right’s division between de la Espriella and Valencia has prevented any challenger from closing the gap, while Cepeda benefits from consolidated left-wing turnout and primary victories. Traders therefore assign him an overwhelming implied probability of securing the plurality on election night, though the contest remains open to last-minute shifts from violence concerns or turnout variations.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$5,908,499
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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자주 묻는 질문

" 콜롬비아 대통령 선거 1차 승자는?"은 18개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 84%의 "이반 세페다 카스트로"이며, 이어서 16%의 "아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 84¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 84%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 " 콜롬비아 대통령 선거 1차 승자는?"은 총 $5.9 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Dec 23, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

" 콜롬비아 대통령 선거 1차 승자는?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 18개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

" 콜롬비아 대통령 선거 1차 승자는?"의 현재 유력 후보는 84%의 "이반 세페다 카스트로"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 84%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 16%의 "아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

" 콜롬비아 대통령 선거 1차 승자는?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.