Recent polling after the June 9 primaries shows Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in head-to-head matchups, with margins ranging from one to three points in surveys conducted through mid-June. This edge, combined with Maine's consistent support for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 64 percent implied probability. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles, benefits from incumbency and established name recognition, yet faces a competitive path amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Maine Senate Election Winner
Maine Senate Election Winner
$584,283 거래량
$584,283 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
61%
Republican
40%
$584,283 거래량
$584,283 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
$363,148 거래량
61%
Republican
$221,135 거래량
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling after the June 9 primaries shows Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in head-to-head matchups, with margins ranging from one to three points in surveys conducted through mid-June. This edge, combined with Maine's consistent support for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 64 percent implied probability. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles, benefits from incumbency and established name recognition, yet faces a competitive path amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$584,283종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling after the June 9 primaries shows Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in head-to-head matchups, with margins ranging from one to three points in surveys conducted through mid-June. This edge, combined with Maine's consistent support for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 64 percent implied probability. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles, benefits from incumbency and established name recognition, yet faces a competitive path amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$584,283종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling after the June 9 primaries shows Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in head-to-head matchups, with margins ranging from one to three points in surveys conducted through mid-June. This edge, combined with Maine's consistent support for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 64 percent implied probability. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from a state carried by Democrats in recent cycles, benefits from incumbency and established name recognition, yet faces a competitive path amid ranked-choice voting dynamics. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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