The incumbent Democratic representative benefits from a strongly Democratic district rated Solid D with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent presidential cycles. Primary contests on July 21, 2026, feature the sitting member facing limited intra-party opposition alongside weak Republican primary candidates, leaving no evident path for a general election upset under current conditions. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, significant fundraising reversal, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,983 거래량
$11,983 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$11,983 거래량
$11,983 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$7,686 거래량
93%
공화당
$4,297 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Democratic representative benefits from a strongly Democratic district rated Solid D with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent presidential cycles. Primary contests on July 21, 2026, feature the sitting member facing limited intra-party opposition alongside weak Republican primary candidates, leaving no evident path for a general election upset under current conditions. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, significant fundraising reversal, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$11,983종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Democratic representative benefits from a strongly Democratic district rated Solid D with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent presidential cycles. Primary contests on July 21, 2026, feature the sitting member facing limited intra-party opposition alongside weak Republican primary candidates, leaving no evident path for a general election upset under current conditions. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, significant fundraising reversal, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,983종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The incumbent Democratic representative benefits from a strongly Democratic district rated Solid D with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent presidential cycles. Primary contests on July 21, 2026, feature the sitting member facing limited intra-party opposition alongside weak Republican primary candidates, leaving no evident path for a general election upset under current conditions. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter sentiment. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, significant fundraising reversal, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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