Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another in the mid-teens to low twenties, leaving no party with a consistent edge for second place behind the likely leading CDU. National trends of SPD weakness, AfD gains in eastern and western states, and coalition strains in the capital have kept volatility high, with traders viewing the outcome as sensitive to late shifts in turnout among urban and progressive voters. Upcoming summer polling releases, candidate debates, and any federal policy announcements on migration or energy could quickly reorder the middle of the field, while the absence of a dominant challenger sustains the current tight distribution across multiple options.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Linke 46%
CDU 45%
SPD 45%
AfD 45%

Linke
46%

CDU
45%

SPD
45%

AfD
45%

Grüne
45%

FDP
26%

FW
26%

BSW
2%
Linke 46%
CDU 45%
SPD 45%
AfD 45%

Linke
46%

CDU
45%

SPD
45%

AfD
45%

Grüne
45%

FDP
26%

FW
26%

BSW
2%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another in the mid-teens to low twenties, leaving no party with a consistent edge for second place behind the likely leading CDU. National trends of SPD weakness, AfD gains in eastern and western states, and coalition strains in the capital have kept volatility high, with traders viewing the outcome as sensitive to late shifts in turnout among urban and progressive voters. Upcoming summer polling releases, candidate debates, and any federal policy announcements on migration or energy could quickly reorder the middle of the field, while the absence of a dominant challenger sustains the current tight distribution across multiple options.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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