**Incumbent Republican Michael Guest advanced unopposed from the March 10 primary, securing the nomination in Mississippi's solidly Republican 3rd Congressional District and setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Michael Chiaradio, who also faced no primary opposition.** Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, MS-03 has consistently delivered overwhelming GOP margins, with Guest's incumbency advantage, strong fundraising, and lack of competitive challengers driving trader consensus to imply a 92.5% Republican win probability ahead of the November 3 ballot. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, maintaining the status quo. While dominant, odds could shift on a late scandal, Guest health issues, or national Democratic wave in the midterms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,682 거래량
$28,682 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
5%
$28,682 거래량
$28,682 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$6,190 거래량
93%
민주당
$22,492 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Michael Guest advanced unopposed from the March 10 primary, securing the nomination in Mississippi's solidly Republican 3rd Congressional District and setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Michael Chiaradio, who also faced no primary opposition.** Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, MS-03 has consistently delivered overwhelming GOP margins, with Guest's incumbency advantage, strong fundraising, and lack of competitive challengers driving trader consensus to imply a 92.5% Republican win probability ahead of the November 3 ballot. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, maintaining the status quo. While dominant, odds could shift on a late scandal, Guest health issues, or national Democratic wave in the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$28,682종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Michael Guest advanced unopposed from the March 10 primary, securing the nomination in Mississippi's solidly Republican 3rd Congressional District and setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Michael Chiaradio, who also faced no primary opposition.** Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, MS-03 has consistently delivered overwhelming GOP margins, with Guest's incumbency advantage, strong fundraising, and lack of competitive challengers driving trader consensus to imply a 92.5% Republican win probability ahead of the November 3 ballot. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, maintaining the status quo. While dominant, odds could shift on a late scandal, Guest health issues, or national Democratic wave in the midterms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,682종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Michael Guest advanced unopposed from the March 10 primary, securing the nomination in Mississippi's solidly Republican 3rd Congressional District and setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Michael Chiaradio, who also faced no primary opposition.** Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, MS-03 has consistently delivered overwhelming GOP margins, with Guest's incumbency advantage, strong fundraising, and lack of competitive challengers driving trader consensus to imply a 92.5% Republican win probability ahead of the November 3 ballot. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, maintaining the status quo. While dominant, odds could shift on a late scandal, Guest health issues, or national Democratic wave in the midterms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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