Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold encompassing parts of Boston and the South Shore, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch, seeking re-election, faces Democratic primary challengers including lawyer Patrick Roath, who recently announced his bid after raising $1 million and earning endorsements like David Hogg's PAC, but these contests do not alter the district's entrenched partisan leanings—Democrats have won general elections here by 30+ point margins historically. Minimal Republican interest, with no prominent GOP candidates emerging, reinforces the lopsided odds. Scenarios that could shift this include a major Democratic nominee scandal post-September primaries, an unforeseen strong Republican entrant, or a national midterm wave favoring the GOP.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,511 거래량
$18,511 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$18,511 거래량
$18,511 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$11,531 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$6,981 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold encompassing parts of Boston and the South Shore, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch, seeking re-election, faces Democratic primary challengers including lawyer Patrick Roath, who recently announced his bid after raising $1 million and earning endorsements like David Hogg's PAC, but these contests do not alter the district's entrenched partisan leanings—Democrats have won general elections here by 30+ point margins historically. Minimal Republican interest, with no prominent GOP candidates emerging, reinforces the lopsided odds. Scenarios that could shift this include a major Democratic nominee scandal post-September primaries, an unforeseen strong Republican entrant, or a national midterm wave favoring the GOP.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$18,511종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold encompassing parts of Boston and the South Shore, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch, seeking re-election, faces Democratic primary challengers including lawyer Patrick Roath, who recently announced his bid after raising $1 million and earning endorsements like David Hogg's PAC, but these contests do not alter the district's entrenched partisan leanings—Democrats have won general elections here by 30+ point margins historically. Minimal Republican interest, with no prominent GOP candidates emerging, reinforces the lopsided odds. Scenarios that could shift this include a major Democratic nominee scandal post-September primaries, an unforeseen strong Republican entrant, or a national midterm wave favoring the GOP.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,511종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold encompassing parts of Boston and the South Shore, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch, seeking re-election, faces Democratic primary challengers including lawyer Patrick Roath, who recently announced his bid after raising $1 million and earning endorsements like David Hogg's PAC, but these contests do not alter the district's entrenched partisan leanings—Democrats have won general elections here by 30+ point margins historically. Minimal Republican interest, with no prominent GOP candidates emerging, reinforces the lopsided odds. Scenarios that could shift this include a major Democratic nominee scandal post-September primaries, an unforeseen strong Republican entrant, or a national midterm wave favoring the GOP.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문