The Democratic incumbent's strong positioning in Virginia's 11th congressional district, combined with its established partisan lean and historical voting patterns, has driven trader consensus toward a high probability for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Recent rulings by the Virginia Supreme Court upheld the existing district map after invalidating a mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving structural advantages reflected in solid Democratic race ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbency benefits, primary dynamics among Democratic candidates, and limited Republican opposition further align with current market pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter the outcome ahead of the November vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,936 거래량
$18,936 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$18,936 거래량
$18,936 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$12,234 거래량
94%
공화당
$6,702 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent's strong positioning in Virginia's 11th congressional district, combined with its established partisan lean and historical voting patterns, has driven trader consensus toward a high probability for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Recent rulings by the Virginia Supreme Court upheld the existing district map after invalidating a mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving structural advantages reflected in solid Democratic race ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbency benefits, primary dynamics among Democratic candidates, and limited Republican opposition further align with current market pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter the outcome ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$18,936종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent's strong positioning in Virginia's 11th congressional district, combined with its established partisan lean and historical voting patterns, has driven trader consensus toward a high probability for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Recent rulings by the Virginia Supreme Court upheld the existing district map after invalidating a mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving structural advantages reflected in solid Democratic race ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbency benefits, primary dynamics among Democratic candidates, and limited Republican opposition further align with current market pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter the outcome ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,936종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic incumbent's strong positioning in Virginia's 11th congressional district, combined with its established partisan lean and historical voting patterns, has driven trader consensus toward a high probability for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Recent rulings by the Virginia Supreme Court upheld the existing district map after invalidating a mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving structural advantages reflected in solid Democratic race ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbency benefits, primary dynamics among Democratic candidates, and limited Republican opposition further align with current market pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter the outcome ahead of the November vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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