Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli, who secured a commanding 33-point victory in the 2024 general election after winning a special election earlier that year, advanced unchallenged through Ohio's May 5, 2026, Republican primary, solidifying his position in this solidly Republican district per the Cook Political Report. Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a crowded primary field, but the district's strong GOP lean—bolstered by October 2025 redistricting—has driven trader consensus to price Republicans at 86%, reflecting historical margins and limited Democratic path to victory in the November general election. No recent polls show competitive movement, with focus shifting to broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,269 거래량
$22,269 거래량
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
10%
$22,269 거래량
$22,269 거래량
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
10%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli, who secured a commanding 33-point victory in the 2024 general election after winning a special election earlier that year, advanced unchallenged through Ohio's May 5, 2026, Republican primary, solidifying his position in this solidly Republican district per the Cook Political Report. Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a crowded primary field, but the district's strong GOP lean—bolstered by October 2025 redistricting—has driven trader consensus to price Republicans at 86%, reflecting historical margins and limited Democratic path to victory in the November general election. No recent polls show competitive movement, with focus shifting to broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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