Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's commanding position in Illinois' 11th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the seat's Solid Democrat rating from Cook Political Report and its Harris+11 lean in the 2024 presidential vote. Foster sailed through an unopposed March 17 primary, building on his 55.6% general election win in 2024 and long tenure since 2013, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter—a retired Navy veteran and Elburn mayor—emerged from a contested primary without notable momentum. Absent polls or fundraising disparities, no developments since mid-April have shifted dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Foster scandal, GOP national wave, or surge in collar county turnout could challenge this outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,099 거래량
$10,099 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$10,099 거래량
$10,099 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,161 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$6,938 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's commanding position in Illinois' 11th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the seat's Solid Democrat rating from Cook Political Report and its Harris+11 lean in the 2024 presidential vote. Foster sailed through an unopposed March 17 primary, building on his 55.6% general election win in 2024 and long tenure since 2013, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter—a retired Navy veteran and Elburn mayor—emerged from a contested primary without notable momentum. Absent polls or fundraising disparities, no developments since mid-April have shifted dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Foster scandal, GOP national wave, or surge in collar county turnout could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$10,099종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's commanding position in Illinois' 11th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the seat's Solid Democrat rating from Cook Political Report and its Harris+11 lean in the 2024 presidential vote. Foster sailed through an unopposed March 17 primary, building on his 55.6% general election win in 2024 and long tenure since 2013, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter—a retired Navy veteran and Elburn mayor—emerged from a contested primary without notable momentum. Absent polls or fundraising disparities, no developments since mid-April have shifted dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Foster scandal, GOP national wave, or surge in collar county turnout could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,099종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's commanding position in Illinois' 11th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the seat's Solid Democrat rating from Cook Political Report and its Harris+11 lean in the 2024 presidential vote. Foster sailed through an unopposed March 17 primary, building on his 55.6% general election win in 2024 and long tenure since 2013, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter—a retired Navy veteran and Elburn mayor—emerged from a contested primary without notable momentum. Absent polls or fundraising disparities, no developments since mid-April have shifted dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Foster scandal, GOP national wave, or surge in collar county turnout could challenge this outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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