Incumbent Rep. Debbie Dingell's strong reelection bid in the reliably Democratic 6th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election. The district's D+12 partisan lean and Dingell's 62% 2024 victory margin reflect longstanding Dingell family dominance spanning nearly a century, with no competitive Republican history. She faces nominal primary opposition from Jason Cloutier on August 4, but advances as the clear favorite absent surprises. While odds imply high certainty, a Republican upset could stem from a Democratic primary debacle, Dingell scandal, health issue, or massive national GOP midterm wave—though structural barriers make these low-probability scenarios.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,700 거래량
$20,700 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
8%
$20,700 거래량
$20,700 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$12,363 거래량
92%
공화당
$8,337 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Debbie Dingell's strong reelection bid in the reliably Democratic 6th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election. The district's D+12 partisan lean and Dingell's 62% 2024 victory margin reflect longstanding Dingell family dominance spanning nearly a century, with no competitive Republican history. She faces nominal primary opposition from Jason Cloutier on August 4, but advances as the clear favorite absent surprises. While odds imply high certainty, a Republican upset could stem from a Democratic primary debacle, Dingell scandal, health issue, or massive national GOP midterm wave—though structural barriers make these low-probability scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$20,700종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Debbie Dingell's strong reelection bid in the reliably Democratic 6th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election. The district's D+12 partisan lean and Dingell's 62% 2024 victory margin reflect longstanding Dingell family dominance spanning nearly a century, with no competitive Republican history. She faces nominal primary opposition from Jason Cloutier on August 4, but advances as the clear favorite absent surprises. While odds imply high certainty, a Republican upset could stem from a Democratic primary debacle, Dingell scandal, health issue, or massive national GOP midterm wave—though structural barriers make these low-probability scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,700종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Debbie Dingell's strong reelection bid in the reliably Democratic 6th Congressional District underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election. The district's D+12 partisan lean and Dingell's 62% 2024 victory margin reflect longstanding Dingell family dominance spanning nearly a century, with no competitive Republican history. She faces nominal primary opposition from Jason Cloutier on August 4, but advances as the clear favorite absent surprises. While odds imply high certainty, a Republican upset could stem from a Democratic primary debacle, Dingell scandal, health issue, or massive national GOP midterm wave—though structural barriers make these low-probability scenarios.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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